Latest forecast models from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and ECMWF indicate a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe driving clear skies and light winds in Warsaw on April 18, positioning trader consensus around a maximum temperature of 17°C (49% implied probability) or 18°C (30.5%). This marks a warming trend from April 17's cooler highs near 14-15°C, with abundant sunshine enabling above-average solar heating—mid-April climatological norms hover at 13-14°C. Model ensembles show tight agreement within 1-2°C spread, though minor cloud variability or northerly gusts could cap peaks lower. IMGW's weekend outlook emphasizes more sun on Saturday, with official observations from Warsaw stations resolving the market by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 18?
17°C 49%
18°C 30%
16°C 15%
19°C 10%
NOUVEAU
$13,167 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,167 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
15%
17°C
49%
18°C
30%
19°C
10%
20°C or higher
2%
17°C 49%
18°C 30%
16°C 15%
19°C 10%
NOUVEAU
$13,167 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,167 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
10°C or below
$2,054 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,590 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,161 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,088 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,461 Vol.
1%
15°C
$755 Vol.
2%
16°C
$525 Vol.
15%
17°C
$449 Vol.
49%
18°C
$611 Vol.
30%
19°C
$1,578 Vol.
10%
20°C or higher
$1,895 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and ECMWF indicate a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe driving clear skies and light winds in Warsaw on April 18, positioning trader consensus around a maximum temperature of 17°C (49% implied probability) or 18°C (30.5%). This marks a warming trend from April 17's cooler highs near 14-15°C, with abundant sunshine enabling above-average solar heating—mid-April climatological norms hover at 13-14°C. Model ensembles show tight agreement within 1-2°C spread, though minor cloud variability or northerly gusts could cap peaks lower. IMGW's weekend outlook emphasizes more sun on Saturday, with official observations from Warsaw stations resolving the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,167Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and ECMWF indicate a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe driving clear skies and light winds in Warsaw on April 18, positioning trader consensus around a maximum temperature of 17°C (49% implied probability) or 18°C (30.5%). This marks a warming trend from April 17's cooler highs near 14-15°C, with abundant sunshine enabling above-average solar heating—mid-April climatological norms hover at 13-14°C. Model ensembles show tight agreement within 1-2°C spread, though minor cloud variability or northerly gusts could cap peaks lower. IMGW's weekend outlook emphasizes more sun on Saturday, with official observations from Warsaw stations resolving the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,167Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and ECMWF indicate a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe driving clear skies and light winds in Warsaw on April 18, positioning trader consensus around a maximum temperature of 17°C (49% implied probability) or 18°C (30.5%). This marks a warming trend from April 17's cooler highs near 14-15°C, with abundant sunshine enabling above-average solar heating—mid-April climatological norms hover at 13-14°C. Model ensembles show tight agreement within 1-2°C spread, though minor cloud variability or northerly gusts could cap peaks lower. IMGW's weekend outlook emphasizes more sun on Saturday, with official observations from Warsaw stations resolving the market by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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