Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Warsaw’s June 26 maximum near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiation between adjacent buckets stems from small uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification at Chopin Airport, exact timing of peak insolation, and minor model spread on cloud cover or warm-air advection strength. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 12–24 h model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates will determine whether the peak settles at 31 °C, pushes to 33 °C, or stays capped near 30 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 26?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 26?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,687 Vol.
$56,687 Vol.
26 juin 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,687 Vol.
$56,687 Vol.
26 juin 2026
26°C or below
$1,240 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,442 Vol.
No
28°C
$798 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,027 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,976 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,534 Vol.
No
32°C
$17,574 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$6,924 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,763 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,386 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,022 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Warsaw’s June 26 maximum near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiation between adjacent buckets stems from small uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification at Chopin Airport, exact timing of peak insolation, and minor model spread on cloud cover or warm-air advection strength. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 12–24 h model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates will determine whether the peak settles at 31 °C, pushes to 33 °C, or stays capped near 30 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$56,687Date de fin
26 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Warsaw’s June 26 maximum near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiation between adjacent buckets stems from small uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification at Chopin Airport, exact timing of peak insolation, and minor model spread on cloud cover or warm-air advection strength. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 12–24 h model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates will determine whether the peak settles at 31 °C, pushes to 33 °C, or stays capped near 30 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56,687Date de fin
26 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Warsaw’s June 26 maximum near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiation between adjacent buckets stems from small uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification at Chopin Airport, exact timing of peak insolation, and minor model spread on cloud cover or warm-air advection strength. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 12–24 h model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates will determine whether the peak settles at 31 °C, pushes to 33 °C, or stays capped near 30 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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