MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's April 19 high temperature at 17°C, with a few showers and northerlies turning southeasterly, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 33.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 18°C at 34%. This tight race reflects ensemble model uncertainty, where partial cloud breaks could boost highs by 1°C via increased insolation, while heavier showers or stronger cooling southeasterlies favor 17°C or below. Recent days saw highs of 17–18°C under similar autumn patterns, aligning with April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Watch for tomorrow's forecast update from MetService, as wind regime shifts and cloud cover remain key differentiators ahead of resolution at Wellington International Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on April 19?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 19?
18°C 35%
17°C 34%
16°C 17%
19°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
17%
17°C
34%
18°C
35%
19°C
13%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
18°C 35%
17°C 34%
16°C 17%
19°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
11°C or below
$715 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$504 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$513 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$90 Vol.
3%
15°C
$55 Vol.
5%
16°C
$56 Vol.
17%
17°C
$72 Vol.
34%
18°C
$114 Vol.
35%
19°C
$706 Vol.
13%
20°C
$63 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$163 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's April 19 high temperature at 17°C, with a few showers and northerlies turning southeasterly, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 33.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 18°C at 34%. This tight race reflects ensemble model uncertainty, where partial cloud breaks could boost highs by 1°C via increased insolation, while heavier showers or stronger cooling southeasterlies favor 17°C or below. Recent days saw highs of 17–18°C under similar autumn patterns, aligning with April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Watch for tomorrow's forecast update from MetService, as wind regime shifts and cloud cover remain key differentiators ahead of resolution at Wellington International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$3,000Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's April 19 high temperature at 17°C, with a few showers and northerlies turning southeasterly, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 33.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 18°C at 34%. This tight race reflects ensemble model uncertainty, where partial cloud breaks could boost highs by 1°C via increased insolation, while heavier showers or stronger cooling southeasterlies favor 17°C or below. Recent days saw highs of 17–18°C under similar autumn patterns, aligning with April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Watch for tomorrow's forecast update from MetService, as wind regime shifts and cloud cover remain key differentiators ahead of resolution at Wellington International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,000Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's April 19 high temperature at 17°C, with a few showers and northerlies turning southeasterly, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 33.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 18°C at 34%. This tight race reflects ensemble model uncertainty, where partial cloud breaks could boost highs by 1°C via increased insolation, while heavier showers or stronger cooling southeasterlies favor 17°C or below. Recent days saw highs of 17–18°C under similar autumn patterns, aligning with April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Watch for tomorrow's forecast update from MetService, as wind regime shifts and cloud cover remain key differentiators ahead of resolution at Wellington International Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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