Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 100.0%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$61,546 Vol.
$61,546 Vol.
11 juin 2026
8°C ou moins
Non
9°C
No
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Oui
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C ou plus
Non
14°C 100.0%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$61,546 Vol.
$61,546 Vol.
11 juin 2026
8°C ou moins
$317 Vol.
Non
9°C
$311 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,743 Vol.
Non
11°C
$2,590 Vol.
Non
12°C
$6,243 Vol.
Non
13°C
$16,223 Vol.
Non
14°C
$11,857 Vol.
Oui
15°C
$8,210 Vol.
Non
16°C
$9,389 Vol.
Non
17°C
$4,048 Vol.
Non
18°C ou plus
$615 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$61,546Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,546Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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