Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on June 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 5?
18°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$250,697 Vol.
$250,697 Vol.
5 juin 2026
11°C ou moins
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Oui
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$250,697 Vol.
$250,697 Vol.
5 juin 2026
11°C ou moins
$8,352 Vol.
Non
12°C
$6,636 Vol.
Non
13°C
$15,830 Vol.
Non
14°C
$26,429 Vol.
Non
15°C
$37,914 Vol.
Non
16°C
$54,861 Vol.
Non
17°C
$46,504 Vol.
Non
18°C
$18,100 Vol.
Oui
19°C
$16,227 Vol.
Non
20°C
$9,983 Vol.
Non
21°C or higher
$9,861 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$250,697Date de fin
5 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$250,697Date de fin
5 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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