Official observations from Wellington International Airport, New Zealand's primary weather station for this market, confirm a peak temperature of 16°C on May 12, 2026, as recorded in MetService hourly data around midday under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with short-range forecast models from MetService and ensemble projections showing minimal spread, consistent with May climatological norms of 14.5–15°C averages from NIWA records amid cool autumn air masses from the south. Realistic challenges are negligible post-validation, limited to rare data revisions in the Wunderground history used for resolution or unverified instrument anomalies, though southerly persistence and cloud cover precluded higher readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on May 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 12?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$106,479 Vol.
$106,479 Vol.
12 mai 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$106,479 Vol.
$106,479 Vol.
12 mai 2026
9°C or below
$1,416 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,545 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,280 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,644 Vol.
No
13°C
$22,392 Vol.
No
14°C
$9,154 Vol.
No
15°C
$35,201 Vol.
No
16°C
$10,768 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$8,950 Vol.
No
18°C
$9,519 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$4,611 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Wellington International Airport, New Zealand's primary weather station for this market, confirm a peak temperature of 16°C on May 12, 2026, as recorded in MetService hourly data around midday under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with short-range forecast models from MetService and ensemble projections showing minimal spread, consistent with May climatological norms of 14.5–15°C averages from NIWA records amid cool autumn air masses from the south. Realistic challenges are negligible post-validation, limited to rare data revisions in the Wunderground history used for resolution or unverified instrument anomalies, though southerly persistence and cloud cover precluded higher readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$106,479Date de fin
12 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Wellington International Airport, New Zealand's primary weather station for this market, confirm a peak temperature of 16°C on May 12, 2026, as recorded in MetService hourly data around midday under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with short-range forecast models from MetService and ensemble projections showing minimal spread, consistent with May climatological norms of 14.5–15°C averages from NIWA records amid cool autumn air masses from the south. Realistic challenges are negligible post-validation, limited to rare data revisions in the Wunderground history used for resolution or unverified instrument anomalies, though southerly persistence and cloud cover precluded higher readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$106,479Date de fin
12 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observations from Wellington International Airport, New Zealand's primary weather station for this market, confirm a peak temperature of 16°C on May 12, 2026, as recorded in MetService hourly data around midday under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with short-range forecast models from MetService and ensemble projections showing minimal spread, consistent with May climatological norms of 14.5–15°C averages from NIWA records amid cool autumn air masses from the south. Realistic challenges are negligible post-validation, limited to rare data revisions in the Wunderground history used for resolution or unverified instrument anomalies, though southerly persistence and cloud cover precluded higher readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes