Current observations from official Chinese meteorological stations and convergent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and CMA show Wuhan's afternoon peak stabilizing at or below 29°C under stable high pressure, limited moisture advection, and typical early-summer radiative heating. This scientific consensus, reinforced by real-time surface data and the absence of convective destabilization, has driven the market's near-certain pricing of the 29°C outcome. The primary resolution threshold remains the highest verified reading at the designated Wuhan station before midnight local time. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled urban heat-island effects or a post-forecast measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$65,228 Vol.
$65,228 Vol.
14 juin 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$65,228 Vol.
$65,228 Vol.
14 juin 2026
27°C or below
$6,577 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,461 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,017 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$8,317 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,657 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,639 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,481 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,921 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,196 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,399 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$1,564 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observations from official Chinese meteorological stations and convergent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and CMA show Wuhan's afternoon peak stabilizing at or below 29°C under stable high pressure, limited moisture advection, and typical early-summer radiative heating. This scientific consensus, reinforced by real-time surface data and the absence of convective destabilization, has driven the market's near-certain pricing of the 29°C outcome. The primary resolution threshold remains the highest verified reading at the designated Wuhan station before midnight local time. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled urban heat-island effects or a post-forecast measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$65,228Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observations from official Chinese meteorological stations and convergent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and CMA show Wuhan's afternoon peak stabilizing at or below 29°C under stable high pressure, limited moisture advection, and typical early-summer radiative heating. This scientific consensus, reinforced by real-time surface data and the absence of convective destabilization, has driven the market's near-certain pricing of the 29°C outcome. The primary resolution threshold remains the highest verified reading at the designated Wuhan station before midnight local time. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled urban heat-island effects or a post-forecast measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,228Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current observations from official Chinese meteorological stations and convergent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and CMA show Wuhan's afternoon peak stabilizing at or below 29°C under stable high pressure, limited moisture advection, and typical early-summer radiative heating. This scientific consensus, reinforced by real-time surface data and the absence of convective destabilization, has driven the market's near-certain pricing of the 29°C outcome. The primary resolution threshold remains the highest verified reading at the designated Wuhan station before midnight local time. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled urban heat-island effects or a post-forecast measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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