Market icon
Géopolitique·Navire

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

Market icon
Géopolitique·Navire

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

Mar 23

Mar 29

Mar 23

Mar 29

20-24 33%

30-34 25%

25-29 19%

35-39 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$15,290 Vol.

20-24 33%

30-34 25%

25-29 19%

35-39 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$15,290 Vol.

<10

$2,519 Vol.

2%

10-14

$1,101 Vol.

3%

15-19

$1,568 Vol.

9%

20-24

$2,778 Vol.

33%

25-29

$1,166 Vol.

19%

30-34

$1,334 Vol.

25%

35-39

$1,254 Vol.

14%

40-44

$1,167 Vol.

6%

45+

$2,403 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus favors 20-24 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 33.5%, reflecting a recent downward trend in oil tanker traffic driven by OPEC+ extending voluntary production cuts through Q2 2024, which curbed Persian Gulf crude exports and lowered weekly volumes to around 22 in the prior week ending March 22. The 30-34 range at 22.5% and 25-29 at 16.5% trail as alternatives if loadings rebound amid steady Asian demand, while lower bins gain from lingering Red Sea Houthi disruptions elevating charter rates and rerouting risks. No major military incidents or blockades have hit Hormuz in the past 30 days, keeping flows stable despite Iran-U.S. tensions; daily satellite trackers like Vortexa will clarify mid-week, with final counts depending on weather and export schedules.

Trader consensus favors 20-24 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 33.5%, reflecting a recent downward trend in oil tanker traffic driven by OPEC+ extending voluntary production cuts through Q2 2024, which curbed Persian Gulf crude exports and lowered weekly volumes to around 22 in the prior week ending March 22. The 30-34 range at 22.5% and 25-29 at 16.5% trail as alternatives if loadings rebound amid steady Asian demand, while lower bins gain from lingering Red Sea Houthi disruptions elevating charter rates and rerouting risks. No major military incidents or blockades have hit Hormuz in the past 30 days, keeping flows stable despite Iran-U.S. tensions; daily satellite trackers like Vortexa will clarify mid-week, with final counts depending on weather and export schedules.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus favors 20-24 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 33.5%, reflecting a recent downward trend in oil tanker traffic driven by OPEC+ extending voluntary production cuts through Q2 2024, which curbed Persian Gulf crude exports and lowered weekly volumes to around 22 in the prior week ending March 22. The 30-34 range at 22.5% and 25-29 at 16.5% trail as alternatives if loadings rebound amid steady Asian demand, while lower bins gain from lingering Red Sea Houthi disruptions elevating charter rates and rerouting risks. No major military incidents or blockades have hit Hormuz in the past 30 days, keeping flows stable despite Iran-U.S. tensions; daily satellite trackers like Vortexa will clarify mid-week, with final counts depending on weather and export schedules.

Trader consensus favors 20-24 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 33.5%, reflecting a recent downward trend in oil tanker traffic driven by OPEC+ extending voluntary production cuts through Q2 2024, which curbed Persian Gulf crude exports and lowered weekly volumes to around 22 in the prior week ending March 22. The 30-34 range at 22.5% and 25-29 at 16.5% trail as alternatives if loadings rebound amid steady Asian demand, while lower bins gain from lingering Red Sea Houthi disruptions elevating charter rates and rerouting risks. No major military incidents or blockades have hit Hormuz in the past 30 days, keeping flows stable despite Iran-U.S. tensions; daily satellite trackers like Vortexa will clarify mid-week, with final counts depending on weather and export schedules.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 20-24 » à 33%, suivi de « 30-34 » à 25%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 33¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29) » a généré $15.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29) », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29) » est « 20-24 » à 33%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30-34 » à 25%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.