SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing announcement has anchored trader consensus around a $70-80 billion raise, with the company fixing shares at $135 each to generate approximately $75 billion in gross proceeds and a $1.77 trillion valuation. This record offering, exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, reflects strong demand for the aerospace and Starlink businesses amid robust 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and favorable equity-market conditions. Institutional allocations and roadshow momentum further reinforce the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from underwriter exercise of the overallotment option, pushing net proceeds toward $85 billion, or last-minute regulatory delays, though the priced terms limit realistic downside variance ahead of the expected Nasdaq debut.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$393,631 Vol.
$393,631 Vol.
<40B
No
40-50B
No
50-60B
No
60-70B
No
70-80B
Yes
80-90B
No
90-100B
No
100-110B
No
110-120B
No
120B+
No
$393,631 Vol.
$393,631 Vol.
<40B
$35,861 Vol.
No
40-50B
$28,476 Vol.
No
50-60B
$55,241 Vol.
No
60-70B
$38,320 Vol.
No
70-80B
$100,385 Vol.
Yes
80-90B
$45,193 Vol.
No
90-100B
$23,857 Vol.
No
100-110B
$18,685 Vol.
No
110-120B
$21,511 Vol.
No
120B+
$26,102 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing announcement has anchored trader consensus around a $70-80 billion raise, with the company fixing shares at $135 each to generate approximately $75 billion in gross proceeds and a $1.77 trillion valuation. This record offering, exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, reflects strong demand for the aerospace and Starlink businesses amid robust 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and favorable equity-market conditions. Institutional allocations and roadshow momentum further reinforce the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from underwriter exercise of the overallotment option, pushing net proceeds toward $85 billion, or last-minute regulatory delays, though the priced terms limit realistic downside variance ahead of the expected Nasdaq debut.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$393,631Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing announcement has anchored trader consensus around a $70-80 billion raise, with the company fixing shares at $135 each to generate approximately $75 billion in gross proceeds and a $1.77 trillion valuation. This record offering, exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, reflects strong demand for the aerospace and Starlink businesses amid robust 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and favorable equity-market conditions. Institutional allocations and roadshow momentum further reinforce the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from underwriter exercise of the overallotment option, pushing net proceeds toward $85 billion, or last-minute regulatory delays, though the priced terms limit realistic downside variance ahead of the expected Nasdaq debut.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$393,631Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing announcement has anchored trader consensus around a $70-80 billion raise, with the company fixing shares at $135 each to generate approximately $75 billion in gross proceeds and a $1.77 trillion valuation. This record offering, exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, reflects strong demand for the aerospace and Starlink businesses amid robust 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and favorable equity-market conditions. Institutional allocations and roadshow momentum further reinforce the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from underwriter exercise of the overallotment option, pushing net proceeds toward $85 billion, or last-minute regulatory delays, though the priced terms limit realistic downside variance ahead of the expected Nasdaq debut.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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