**Japan's government has maintained a cautious, case-by-case stance on UAP-related disclosures amid the U.S. PURSUE program's multiple 2026 tranches.** In May 2026, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara confirmed that Tokyo was analyzing U.S.-released footage—including incidents near Japanese airspace—with interest and close ally coordination, while noting that any release of Japanese material would weigh risks of exposing intelligence-gathering capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group proposed centralizing UAP data collection under the Cabinet Secretariat, and Japan later established a new National Intelligence Bureau in July, but no dedicated disclosure program, legislative mandate, or scheduled releases have emerged. As of September 2026, no new Japanese UAP files have been declassified, reflecting structural barriers around national security priorities and the absence of binding timelines through year-end. This underpins trader consensus favoring no action before December 31, 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour8% chance
$11,397 Vol.
$11,397 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
8% chance
$11,397 Vol.
$11,397 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Japan's government has maintained a cautious, case-by-case stance on UAP-related disclosures amid the U.S. PURSUE program's multiple 2026 tranches.** In May 2026, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara confirmed that Tokyo was analyzing U.S.-released footage—including incidents near Japanese airspace—with interest and close ally coordination, while noting that any release of Japanese material would weigh risks of exposing intelligence-gathering capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group proposed centralizing UAP data collection under the Cabinet Secretariat, and Japan later established a new National Intelligence Bureau in July, but no dedicated disclosure program, legislative mandate, or scheduled releases have emerged. As of September 2026, no new Japanese UAP files have been declassified, reflecting structural barriers around national security priorities and the absence of binding timelines through year-end. This underpins trader consensus favoring no action before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
Volume
$11,397Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Japan's government has maintained a cautious, case-by-case stance on UAP-related disclosures amid the U.S. PURSUE program's multiple 2026 tranches.** In May 2026, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara confirmed that Tokyo was analyzing U.S.-released footage—including incidents near Japanese airspace—with interest and close ally coordination, while noting that any release of Japanese material would weigh risks of exposing intelligence-gathering capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group proposed centralizing UAP data collection under the Cabinet Secretariat, and Japan later established a new National Intelligence Bureau in July, but no dedicated disclosure program, legislative mandate, or scheduled releases have emerged. As of September 2026, no new Japanese UAP files have been declassified, reflecting structural barriers around national security priorities and the absence of binding timelines through year-end. This underpins trader consensus favoring no action before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,397Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Japan's government has maintained a cautious, case-by-case stance on UAP-related disclosures amid the U.S. PURSUE program's multiple 2026 tranches.** In May 2026, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara confirmed that Tokyo was analyzing U.S.-released footage—including incidents near Japanese airspace—with interest and close ally coordination, while noting that any release of Japanese material would weigh risks of exposing intelligence-gathering capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group proposed centralizing UAP data collection under the Cabinet Secretariat, and Japan later established a new National Intelligence Bureau in July, but no dedicated disclosure program, legislative mandate, or scheduled releases have emerged. As of September 2026, no new Japanese UAP files have been declassified, reflecting structural barriers around national security priorities and the absence of binding timelines through year-end. This underpins trader consensus favoring no action before December 31, 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes