Real Sociedad's 55.5% implied probability as slight favorites stems from their superior La Liga standing (7th with 41 points) and home advantage at Reale Seguros Stadium, bolstered by solid recent form amid a congested schedule including the looming Copa del Rey final. However, a mounting injury crisis—Odriozola out with a cruciate ligament tear until November, Herrera sidelined by a calf issue through mid-April, plus doubts over Soler, Barrenetxea, and others—forces rotation risks that temper trader confidence. Alavés (15th, 32 points) holds 19.5% upset potential via three straight La Liga head-to-head wins, while the 25.5% draw reflects tight matchups and both sides' physical discomforts like Suárez's muscle injury.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIf Real Sociedad de Fútbol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Real Sociedad de Fútbol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Real Sociedad's 55.5% implied probability as slight favorites stems from their superior La Liga standing (7th with 41 points) and home advantage at Reale Seguros Stadium, bolstered by solid recent form amid a congested schedule including the looming Copa del Rey final. However, a mounting injury crisis—Odriozola out with a cruciate ligament tear until November, Herrera sidelined by a calf issue through mid-April, plus doubts over Soler, Barrenetxea, and others—forces rotation risks that temper trader confidence. Alavés (15th, 32 points) holds 19.5% upset potential via three straight La Liga head-to-head wins, while the 25.5% draw reflects tight matchups and both sides' physical discomforts like Suárez's muscle injury.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes