Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model outputs point to a frontal passage and west-to-northwesterly flow bringing cooler maritime air across southern England, anchoring the implied probability for a 14–16 °C daily minimum in London on 8 September. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies is expected to be moderated by 10–15 kt winds and residual moisture, limiting the drop below 12 °C while preventing a rebound above 16 °C. Differences among the tightly bunched 14 °C (30 %), 15 °C (36 %), and 16 °C (28 %) outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any showers, the depth of the boundary layer, and small adjustments in 850 hPa temperatures within the latest ECMWF and UKMO runs. Fresh model cycles and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper edge of this narrow range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 8 septembre ?
15°C 39%
13°C 29%
14°C 29%
16°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
4%
12°C
20%
13°C
29%
14°C
29%
15°C
39%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C ou plus
2%
15°C 39%
13°C 29%
14°C 29%
16°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$0 Vol.
29%
14°C
$198 Vol.
29%
15°C
$68 Vol.
39%
16°C
$402 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model outputs point to a frontal passage and west-to-northwesterly flow bringing cooler maritime air across southern England, anchoring the implied probability for a 14–16 °C daily minimum in London on 8 September. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies is expected to be moderated by 10–15 kt winds and residual moisture, limiting the drop below 12 °C while preventing a rebound above 16 °C. Differences among the tightly bunched 14 °C (30 %), 15 °C (36 %), and 16 °C (28 %) outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any showers, the depth of the boundary layer, and small adjustments in 850 hPa temperatures within the latest ECMWF and UKMO runs. Fresh model cycles and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper edge of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$668Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model outputs point to a frontal passage and west-to-northwesterly flow bringing cooler maritime air across southern England, anchoring the implied probability for a 14–16 °C daily minimum in London on 8 September. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies is expected to be moderated by 10–15 kt winds and residual moisture, limiting the drop below 12 °C while preventing a rebound above 16 °C. Differences among the tightly bunched 14 °C (30 %), 15 °C (36 %), and 16 °C (28 %) outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any showers, the depth of the boundary layer, and small adjustments in 850 hPa temperatures within the latest ECMWF and UKMO runs. Fresh model cycles and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper edge of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$668Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model outputs point to a frontal passage and west-to-northwesterly flow bringing cooler maritime air across southern England, anchoring the implied probability for a 14–16 °C daily minimum in London on 8 September. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies is expected to be moderated by 10–15 kt winds and residual moisture, limiting the drop below 12 °C while preventing a rebound above 16 °C. Differences among the tightly bunched 14 °C (30 %), 15 °C (36 %), and 16 °C (28 %) outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any showers, the depth of the boundary layer, and small adjustments in 850 hPa temperatures within the latest ECMWF and UKMO runs. Fresh model cycles and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper edge of this narrow range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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