National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Miami le 6 mai ?
La température la plus basse à Miami le 6 mai ?
76-77 °F 100.0%
69°F ou moins <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$75,298 Vol.
$75,298 Vol.
6 mai 2026
69°F ou moins
Non
70-71°F
Non
72-73°F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77 °F
Oui
78-79 °F
Non
80-81°F
Non
82-83°F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87 °F
Non
88°F ou plus
Non
76-77 °F 100.0%
69°F ou moins <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$75,298 Vol.
$75,298 Vol.
6 mai 2026
69°F ou moins
$1,752 Vol.
Non
70-71°F
$2,861 Vol.
Non
72-73°F
$2,365 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$2,933 Vol.
Non
76-77 °F
$8,248 Vol.
Oui
78-79 °F
$1,121 Vol.
Non
80-81°F
$1,726 Vol.
Non
82-83°F
$6,840 Vol.
Non
84-85°F
$16,093 Vol.
Non
86-87 °F
$16,939 Vol.
Non
88°F ou plus
$14,420 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$75,298Date de fin
6 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$75,298Date de fin
6 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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