Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 22 avril ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 22 avril ?
46-47 °F 100.0%
37°F ou moins <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$95,167 Vol.
$95,167 Vol.
22 avr. 2026
37°F ou moins
Non
38-39°F
Non
40-41°F
Non
42-43°F
Non
44-45°F
Non
46-47 °F
Oui
48-49°F
Non
50-51 °F
Non
52-53°F
Non
54-55 °F
Non
56°F ou plus
Non
46-47 °F 100.0%
37°F ou moins <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$95,167 Vol.
$95,167 Vol.
22 avr. 2026
37°F ou moins
$1,694 Vol.
Non
38-39°F
$10,470 Vol.
Non
40-41°F
$2,260 Vol.
Non
42-43°F
$4,946 Vol.
Non
44-45°F
$8,762 Vol.
Non
46-47 °F
$14,971 Vol.
Oui
48-49°F
$5,446 Vol.
Non
50-51 °F
$8,646 Vol.
Non
52-53°F
$23,490 Vol.
Non
54-55 °F
$6,393 Vol.
Non
56°F ou plus
$8,088 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$95,167Date de fin
22 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$95,167Date de fin
22 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes