National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance confirmed an overnight low of 54–55°F for New York City on May 25, 2026, driven by mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and minimal radiational cooling under a weak pressure gradient. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late May, when average lows hover near 61°F but can dip into the mid-50s with limited clear-sky nighttime cooling. The market-implied consensus at 100% for the 54–55°F bin reflects traders’ confidence in the official daily minimum from the National Weather Service Climatological Report. A shift would require an unexpected revision in verified station data or measurement methodology, both of which remain stable once finalized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à New York le 25 mai ?
54-55°F 100.0%
47°F ou moins <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$20,462 Vol.
$20,462 Vol.
47°F ou moins
Non
48-49°F
Non
50-51°F
Non
52-53°F
Non
54-55°F
Oui
56-57°F
Non
58-59°F
Non
60-61°F
Non
62-63 °F
Non
64-65 °F
Non
66°F ou plus
Non
54-55°F 100.0%
47°F ou moins <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$20,462 Vol.
$20,462 Vol.
47°F ou moins
Non
48-49°F
Non
50-51°F
Non
52-53°F
Non
54-55°F
Oui
56-57°F
Non
58-59°F
Non
60-61°F
Non
62-63 °F
Non
64-65 °F
Non
66°F ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance confirmed an overnight low of 54–55°F for New York City on May 25, 2026, driven by mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and minimal radiational cooling under a weak pressure gradient. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late May, when average lows hover near 61°F but can dip into the mid-50s with limited clear-sky nighttime cooling. The market-implied consensus at 100% for the 54–55°F bin reflects traders’ confidence in the official daily minimum from the National Weather Service Climatological Report. A shift would require an unexpected revision in verified station data or measurement methodology, both of which remain stable once finalized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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