Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum near 20–21°C in Paris on July 16 amid lingering warm advection and elevated dew points from the July heatwave, keeping overnight lows well above the historical early-July average of 15–16°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim or sustain the urban heat island effect by 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends in 2-meter temperatures, producing closely bunched implied probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 16 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 16 juillet ?
20°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$22,358 Vol.
$22,358 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
17°C ou moins
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Oui
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C ou plus
Non
20°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$22,358 Vol.
$22,358 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
17°C ou moins
$1,461 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,005 Vol.
Non
19°C
$5,564 Vol.
Non
20°C
$6,173 Vol.
Oui
21°C
$2,233 Vol.
Non
22°C
$914 Vol.
Non
23°C
$1,037 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,468 Vol.
Non
25°C
$444 Vol.
Non
26°C
$716 Vol.
Non
27°C ou plus
$344 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum near 20–21°C in Paris on July 16 amid lingering warm advection and elevated dew points from the July heatwave, keeping overnight lows well above the historical early-July average of 15–16°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim or sustain the urban heat island effect by 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends in 2-meter temperatures, producing closely bunched implied probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$22,358Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum near 20–21°C in Paris on July 16 amid lingering warm advection and elevated dew points from the July heatwave, keeping overnight lows well above the historical early-July average of 15–16°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim or sustain the urban heat island effect by 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends in 2-meter temperatures, producing closely bunched implied probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,358Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum near 20–21°C in Paris on July 16 amid lingering warm advection and elevated dew points from the July heatwave, keeping overnight lows well above the historical early-July average of 15–16°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim or sustain the urban heat island effect by 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends in 2-meter temperatures, producing closely bunched implied probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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