**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 17 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 17 juin ?
16°C 100.0%
13°C ou moins <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$15,911 Vol.
$15,911 Vol.
17 juin 2026
13°C ou moins
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Oui
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C ou plus
Non
16°C 100.0%
13°C ou moins <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$15,911 Vol.
$15,911 Vol.
17 juin 2026
13°C ou moins
$1,350 Vol.
Non
14°C
$1,402 Vol.
Non
15°C
$1,708 Vol.
Non
16°C
$2,331 Vol.
Oui
17°C
$1,684 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,891 Vol.
Non
19°C
$3,161 Vol.
Non
20°C
$484 Vol.
Non
21°C
$290 Vol.
Non
22°C
$305 Vol.
Non
23°C ou plus
$305 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$15,911Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,911Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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