Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 18 juin ?
17°C 100.0%
13°C ou moins <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$24,737 Vol.
$24,737 Vol.
13°C ou moins
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Oui
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C ou plus
Non
17°C 100.0%
13°C ou moins <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$24,737 Vol.
$24,737 Vol.
13°C ou moins
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Oui
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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