A strong heatwave driven by a high-pressure dome and northward advection of subtropical air has elevated minimum temperatures across Paris ahead of June 19. Official guidance and ensemble models from Météo-France and European centers indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23 °C under persistent clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup deviates from June climatological norms of 12–15 °C, pushing market-implied probabilities toward those warmer thresholds. Updated model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, with only modest variability expected from localized urban heat-island effects. Traders are therefore concentrating positions around the 21–23 °C range as the most consistent forecast outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 19 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 19 juin ?
19°C ou moins 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$24,445 Vol.
$24,445 Vol.
19 juin 2026
19°C ou moins
Oui
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
19°C ou moins 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$24,445 Vol.
$24,445 Vol.
19 juin 2026
19°C ou moins
$3,514 Vol.
Oui
20°C
$3,670 Vol.
Non
21°C
$3,330 Vol.
Non
22°C
$5,233 Vol.
Non
23°C
$3,081 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,916 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,026 Vol.
Non
26°C
$744 Vol.
Non
27°C
$425 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,206 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$301 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong heatwave driven by a high-pressure dome and northward advection of subtropical air has elevated minimum temperatures across Paris ahead of June 19. Official guidance and ensemble models from Météo-France and European centers indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23 °C under persistent clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup deviates from June climatological norms of 12–15 °C, pushing market-implied probabilities toward those warmer thresholds. Updated model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, with only modest variability expected from localized urban heat-island effects. Traders are therefore concentrating positions around the 21–23 °C range as the most consistent forecast outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$24,445Date de fin
19 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong heatwave driven by a high-pressure dome and northward advection of subtropical air has elevated minimum temperatures across Paris ahead of June 19. Official guidance and ensemble models from Météo-France and European centers indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23 °C under persistent clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup deviates from June climatological norms of 12–15 °C, pushing market-implied probabilities toward those warmer thresholds. Updated model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, with only modest variability expected from localized urban heat-island effects. Traders are therefore concentrating positions around the 21–23 °C range as the most consistent forecast outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,445Date de fin
19 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
A strong heatwave driven by a high-pressure dome and northward advection of subtropical air has elevated minimum temperatures across Paris ahead of June 19. Official guidance and ensemble models from Météo-France and European centers indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23 °C under persistent clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup deviates from June climatological norms of 12–15 °C, pushing market-implied probabilities toward those warmer thresholds. Updated model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, with only modest variability expected from localized urban heat-island effects. Traders are therefore concentrating positions around the 21–23 °C range as the most consistent forecast outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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