Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern France, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow, anchor trader sentiment around a 24°C overnight low for Paris on June 23, with that outcome at 31% implied probability. Clear skies and light winds expected through the period favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 37°C, yet model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows limited spread in minimum temperatures clustered between 21–24°C. Recent observations confirm unusually mild nights during the June 19–21 period, with lows near 20–23°C, while uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps probabilities for 21°C or below and 25°C+ closely matched. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 23 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 23 juin ?
23°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,567 Vol.
$13,567 Vol.
23 juin 2026
21°C ou moins
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C ou plus
Non
23°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,567 Vol.
$13,567 Vol.
23 juin 2026
21°C ou moins
$946 Vol.
Non
22°C
$1,132 Vol.
Non
23°C
$3,418 Vol.
Oui
24°C
$1,168 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,415 Vol.
Non
26°C
$1,411 Vol.
Non
27°C
$2,429 Vol.
Non
28°C
$566 Vol.
Non
29°C
$430 Vol.
Non
30°C
$237 Vol.
Non
31°C ou plus
$416 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern France, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow, anchor trader sentiment around a 24°C overnight low for Paris on June 23, with that outcome at 31% implied probability. Clear skies and light winds expected through the period favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 37°C, yet model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows limited spread in minimum temperatures clustered between 21–24°C. Recent observations confirm unusually mild nights during the June 19–21 period, with lows near 20–23°C, while uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps probabilities for 21°C or below and 25°C+ closely matched. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,567Date de fin
23 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern France, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow, anchor trader sentiment around a 24°C overnight low for Paris on June 23, with that outcome at 31% implied probability. Clear skies and light winds expected through the period favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 37°C, yet model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows limited spread in minimum temperatures clustered between 21–24°C. Recent observations confirm unusually mild nights during the June 19–21 period, with lows near 20–23°C, while uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps probabilities for 21°C or below and 25°C+ closely matched. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,567Date de fin
23 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern France, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow, anchor trader sentiment around a 24°C overnight low for Paris on June 23, with that outcome at 31% implied probability. Clear skies and light winds expected through the period favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 37°C, yet model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows limited spread in minimum temperatures clustered between 21–24°C. Recent observations confirm unusually mild nights during the June 19–21 period, with lows near 20–23°C, while uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps probabilities for 21°C or below and 25°C+ closely matched. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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