Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system over western Europe are keeping minimum temperatures elevated in Paris ahead of June 24. Recent model guidance and Météo-France outlooks show daytime maxima near 39–40 °C on June 22–23 with overnight lows holding around 22–23 °C amid light easterly winds, clear skies, and limited radiative cooling. This warm air mass, combined with the urban heat-island effect and high soil moisture from prior weeks, reduces the typical diurnal range and makes sub-22 °C readings unlikely while capping upside potential above 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Updated model runs and the next Météo-France briefing will provide the clearest signal on any late adjustment to the minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 24 juin ?
24°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,380 Vol.
$19,380 Vol.
23°C ou moins
Non
24°C
Oui
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C ou plus
Non
24°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,380 Vol.
$19,380 Vol.
23°C ou moins
Non
24°C
Oui
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system over western Europe are keeping minimum temperatures elevated in Paris ahead of June 24. Recent model guidance and Météo-France outlooks show daytime maxima near 39–40 °C on June 22–23 with overnight lows holding around 22–23 °C amid light easterly winds, clear skies, and limited radiative cooling. This warm air mass, combined with the urban heat-island effect and high soil moisture from prior weeks, reduces the typical diurnal range and makes sub-22 °C readings unlikely while capping upside potential above 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Updated model runs and the next Météo-France briefing will provide the clearest signal on any late adjustment to the minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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