**A persistent early summer heatwave across northern France is anchoring trader expectations for Paris's June 25 overnight low near 24–25 °C.** Recent model guidance and Météo-France analyses show a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and advection of warm subtropical air, which limits radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above seasonal normals of roughly 14–16 °C. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 24–26 °C for the urban heat-island-adjusted minimum, producing the tight spread visible in current market prices (24 °C at 20.5 %, 25 °C at 24 %, 23 °C and 26 °C each near 20 %). Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds overnight, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away and no major model shifts expected before then, the narrow clustering around 24–25 °C captures the consensus view of limited overnight cooling under continued anticyclonic conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 25 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 25 juin ?
25°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,810 Vol.
$17,810 Vol.
25 juin 2026
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
25°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,810 Vol.
$17,810 Vol.
25 juin 2026
22°C ou moins
$1,040 Vol.
Non
23°C
$673 Vol.
Non
24°C
$3,010 Vol.
Non
25°C
$4,626 Vol.
Oui
26°C
$3,301 Vol.
Non
27°C
$1,778 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,195 Vol.
Non
29°C
$896 Vol.
Non
30°C
$489 Vol.
Non
31°C
$347 Vol.
Non
32°C ou plus
$453 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A persistent early summer heatwave across northern France is anchoring trader expectations for Paris's June 25 overnight low near 24–25 °C.** Recent model guidance and Météo-France analyses show a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and advection of warm subtropical air, which limits radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above seasonal normals of roughly 14–16 °C. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 24–26 °C for the urban heat-island-adjusted minimum, producing the tight spread visible in current market prices (24 °C at 20.5 %, 25 °C at 24 %, 23 °C and 26 °C each near 20 %).
Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds overnight, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away and no major model shifts expected before then, the narrow clustering around 24–25 °C captures the consensus view of limited overnight cooling under continued anticyclonic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$17,810Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A persistent early summer heatwave across northern France is anchoring trader expectations for Paris's June 25 overnight low near 24–25 °C.** Recent model guidance and Météo-France analyses show a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and advection of warm subtropical air, which limits radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above seasonal normals of roughly 14–16 °C. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 24–26 °C for the urban heat-island-adjusted minimum, producing the tight spread visible in current market prices (24 °C at 20.5 %, 25 °C at 24 %, 23 °C and 26 °C each near 20 %).
Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds overnight, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away and no major model shifts expected before then, the narrow clustering around 24–25 °C captures the consensus view of limited overnight cooling under continued anticyclonic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,810Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**A persistent early summer heatwave across northern France is anchoring trader expectations for Paris's June 25 overnight low near 24–25 °C.** Recent model guidance and Météo-France analyses show a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and advection of warm subtropical air, which limits radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above seasonal normals of roughly 14–16 °C. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 24–26 °C for the urban heat-island-adjusted minimum, producing the tight spread visible in current market prices (24 °C at 20.5 %, 25 °C at 24 %, 23 °C and 26 °C each near 20 %). Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds overnight, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away and no major model shifts expected before then, the narrow clustering around 24–25 °C captures the consensus view of limited overnight cooling under continued anticyclonic conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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