High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 28 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 28 juin ?
20°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
18°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
$25,836 Vol.
$25,836 Vol.
28 juin 2026
18°C ou moins
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Oui
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C ou plus
Non
20°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
18°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
$25,836 Vol.
$25,836 Vol.
28 juin 2026
18°C ou moins
$3,420 Vol.
Non
19°C
$2,520 Vol.
Non
20°C
$4,965 Vol.
Oui
21°C
$5,238 Vol.
Non
22°C
$2,341 Vol.
Non
23°C
$2,128 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,607 Vol.
Non
25°C
$663 Vol.
Non
26°C
$472 Vol.
Non
27°C
$467 Vol.
Non
28°C ou plus
$2,017 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$25,836Date de fin
28 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,836Date de fin
28 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes