Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies monitoring the region show Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 4 settling near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. This places the outcome well above the early-June climatological average low of roughly 19–21°C, reflecting warmer baseline conditions and light winds that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 100% on 24°C aggregates these model runs and real-time observations, with the narrow 21–25°C envelope limiting upside or downside surprises. Only an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling event or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded low outside this range before final data confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 4?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 4?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$28,764 Vol.
$28,764 Vol.
4 juin 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$28,764 Vol.
$28,764 Vol.
4 juin 2026
17°C or below
$1,285 Vol.
No
18°C
$194 Vol.
No
19°C
$345 Vol.
No
20°C
$368 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,123 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,370 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,416 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,829 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$3,340 Vol.
No
26°C
$360 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$2,133 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies monitoring the region show Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 4 settling near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. This places the outcome well above the early-June climatological average low of roughly 19–21°C, reflecting warmer baseline conditions and light winds that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 100% on 24°C aggregates these model runs and real-time observations, with the narrow 21–25°C envelope limiting upside or downside surprises. Only an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling event or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded low outside this range before final data confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 2, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$28,764Date de fin
4 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 12:43 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies monitoring the region show Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 4 settling near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. This places the outcome well above the early-June climatological average low of roughly 19–21°C, reflecting warmer baseline conditions and light winds that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 100% on 24°C aggregates these model runs and real-time observations, with the narrow 21–25°C envelope limiting upside or downside surprises. Only an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling event or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded low outside this range before final data confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,764Date de fin
4 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 12:43 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies monitoring the region show Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 4 settling near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. This places the outcome well above the early-June climatological average low of roughly 19–21°C, reflecting warmer baseline conditions and light winds that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 100% on 24°C aggregates these model runs and real-time observations, with the narrow 21–25°C envelope limiting upside or downside surprises. Only an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling event or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded low outside this range before final data confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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