Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 25 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 25 juin ?
20°C 100.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,556 Vol.
$21,556 Vol.
25 juin 2026
16°C ou moins
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Oui
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C ou plus
Non
20°C 100.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,556 Vol.
$21,556 Vol.
25 juin 2026
16°C ou moins
$284 Vol.
Non
17°C
$432 Vol.
Non
18°C
$1,001 Vol.
Non
19°C
$3,165 Vol.
Non
20°C
$4,039 Vol.
Oui
21°C
$10,596 Vol.
Non
22°C
$711 Vol.
Non
23°C
$465 Vol.
Non
24°C
$349 Vol.
Non
25°C
$260 Vol.
Non
26°C ou plus
$254 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21,556Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,556Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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