Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting ensemble models project an overnight low of 16°C for Tokyo on June 6, reflecting typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and no significant frontal systems or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when minimum temperatures commonly range 15–19°C amid the transition toward the rainy season. The market’s near-certain consensus on 16°C as the lowest temperature incorporates real-time observational data and model agreement, leaving limited room for deviation. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a stronger-than-forecast nocturnal cooling event or rapid advection of cooler air, though current guidance shows low probability for such shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 6?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 6?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$11,587 Vol.
$11,587 Vol.
6 juin 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$11,587 Vol.
$11,587 Vol.
6 juin 2026
11°C or below
$423 Vol.
No
12°C
$339 Vol.
No
13°C
$918 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,520 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,067 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,848 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$352 Vol.
No
18°C
$814 Vol.
No
19°C
$906 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,815 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$585 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting ensemble models project an overnight low of 16°C for Tokyo on June 6, reflecting typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and no significant frontal systems or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when minimum temperatures commonly range 15–19°C amid the transition toward the rainy season. The market’s near-certain consensus on 16°C as the lowest temperature incorporates real-time observational data and model agreement, leaving limited room for deviation. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a stronger-than-forecast nocturnal cooling event or rapid advection of cooler air, though current guidance shows low probability for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$11,587Date de fin
6 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 12:41 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting ensemble models project an overnight low of 16°C for Tokyo on June 6, reflecting typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and no significant frontal systems or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when minimum temperatures commonly range 15–19°C amid the transition toward the rainy season. The market’s near-certain consensus on 16°C as the lowest temperature incorporates real-time observational data and model agreement, leaving limited room for deviation. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a stronger-than-forecast nocturnal cooling event or rapid advection of cooler air, though current guidance shows low probability for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,587Date de fin
6 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 12:41 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting ensemble models project an overnight low of 16°C for Tokyo on June 6, reflecting typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and no significant frontal systems or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when minimum temperatures commonly range 15–19°C amid the transition toward the rainy season. The market’s near-certain consensus on 16°C as the lowest temperature incorporates real-time observational data and model agreement, leaving limited room for deviation. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a stronger-than-forecast nocturnal cooling event or rapid advection of cooler air, though current guidance shows low probability for such shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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