Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts project an overnight low of 14–16°C for Tokyo on May 24, closely matching the historical May climatology of roughly 15°C. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable westerly flow and absence of significant cold-air advection, support this range, with model consensus showing minimal spread. Trader positioning at 100% for 15°C reflects this alignment between official guidance and typical seasonal baselines. A late-arriving frontal system or rapid radiative cooling under clear skies could push readings toward 13°C or below, though such shifts remain outside the primary forecast envelope as of the latest model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$133,867 Vol.
$133,867 Vol.
24 mai 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$133,867 Vol.
$133,867 Vol.
24 mai 2026
12°C or below
$6,112 Vol.
No
13°C
$5,668 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,717 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,576 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$2,232 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,125 Vol.
No
18°C
$9,197 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,577 Vol.
No
20°C
$21,419 Vol.
No
21°C
$16,958 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$54,286 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts project an overnight low of 14–16°C for Tokyo on May 24, closely matching the historical May climatology of roughly 15°C. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable westerly flow and absence of significant cold-air advection, support this range, with model consensus showing minimal spread. Trader positioning at 100% for 15°C reflects this alignment between official guidance and typical seasonal baselines. A late-arriving frontal system or rapid radiative cooling under clear skies could push readings toward 13°C or below, though such shifts remain outside the primary forecast envelope as of the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$133,867Date de fin
24 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts project an overnight low of 14–16°C for Tokyo on May 24, closely matching the historical May climatology of roughly 15°C. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable westerly flow and absence of significant cold-air advection, support this range, with model consensus showing minimal spread. Trader positioning at 100% for 15°C reflects this alignment between official guidance and typical seasonal baselines. A late-arriving frontal system or rapid radiative cooling under clear skies could push readings toward 13°C or below, though such shifts remain outside the primary forecast envelope as of the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$133,867Date de fin
24 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts project an overnight low of 14–16°C for Tokyo on May 24, closely matching the historical May climatology of roughly 15°C. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable westerly flow and absence of significant cold-air advection, support this range, with model consensus showing minimal spread. Trader positioning at 100% for 15°C reflects this alignment between official guidance and typical seasonal baselines. A late-arriving frontal system or rapid radiative cooling under clear skies could push readings toward 13°C or below, though such shifts remain outside the primary forecast envelope as of the latest model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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