Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the daily minimum temperature hit 17°C during pre-dawn hours on May 9, 2026, matching converged short-range forecast models amid partly cloudy skies, mild southerly winds, and urban heat island effects typical for early May in Tokyo. Ensemble guidance from JMA indicates no cooler air mass or radiative cooling potential remains, with daytime highs now exceeding 22°C under stable atmospheric conditions. This observational lock-in drives the 100% market-implied probability on 17°C, reflecting traders' confidence in verified data over projections. Only a measurement revision or improbable overnight temperature plunge—unlikely given current upper-air stability—could challenge this positioning, with final JMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 9 mai ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 9 mai ?
17°C 100.0%
13°C ou moins <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$31,556 Vol.
$31,556 Vol.
9 mai 2026
13°C ou moins
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Oui
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C ou plus
Non
17°C 100.0%
13°C ou moins <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$31,556 Vol.
$31,556 Vol.
9 mai 2026
13°C ou moins
$6,574 Vol.
Non
14°C
$1,308 Vol.
Non
15°C
$3,475 Vol.
Non
16°C
$1,999 Vol.
Non
17°C
$3,410 Vol.
Oui
18°C
$3,140 Vol.
Non
19°C
$3,911 Vol.
Non
20°C
$1,530 Vol.
Non
21°C
$1,937 Vol.
Non
22°C
$2,543 Vol.
Non
23°C ou plus
$1,728 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the daily minimum temperature hit 17°C during pre-dawn hours on May 9, 2026, matching converged short-range forecast models amid partly cloudy skies, mild southerly winds, and urban heat island effects typical for early May in Tokyo. Ensemble guidance from JMA indicates no cooler air mass or radiative cooling potential remains, with daytime highs now exceeding 22°C under stable atmospheric conditions. This observational lock-in drives the 100% market-implied probability on 17°C, reflecting traders' confidence in verified data over projections. Only a measurement revision or improbable overnight temperature plunge—unlikely given current upper-air stability—could challenge this positioning, with final JMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$31,556Date de fin
9 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the daily minimum temperature hit 17°C during pre-dawn hours on May 9, 2026, matching converged short-range forecast models amid partly cloudy skies, mild southerly winds, and urban heat island effects typical for early May in Tokyo. Ensemble guidance from JMA indicates no cooler air mass or radiative cooling potential remains, with daytime highs now exceeding 22°C under stable atmospheric conditions. This observational lock-in drives the 100% market-implied probability on 17°C, reflecting traders' confidence in verified data over projections. Only a measurement revision or improbable overnight temperature plunge—unlikely given current upper-air stability—could challenge this positioning, with final JMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$31,556Date de fin
9 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the daily minimum temperature hit 17°C during pre-dawn hours on May 9, 2026, matching converged short-range forecast models amid partly cloudy skies, mild southerly winds, and urban heat island effects typical for early May in Tokyo. Ensemble guidance from JMA indicates no cooler air mass or radiative cooling potential remains, with daytime highs now exceeding 22°C under stable atmospheric conditions. This observational lock-in drives the 100% market-implied probability on 17°C, reflecting traders' confidence in verified data over projections. Only a measurement revision or improbable overnight temperature plunge—unlikely given current upper-air stability—could challenge this positioning, with final JMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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