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Politique·Primaire Du Michigan

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Politique·Primaire Du Michigan

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bridget Brink 42%

William Lawrence 36%

Matt Maasdam 9%

Josh Cowen 3.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Bridget Brink 42%

William Lawrence 36%

Matt Maasdam 9%

Josh Cowen 3.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Bridget Brink

$633 Vol.

42%

William Lawrence

$4,798 Vol.

36%

Matt Maasdam

$615 Vol.

9%

Josh Cowen

$542 Vol.

3%

Elyon Badger

$631 Vol.

2%

Alexandra Prieditis

$698 Vol.

1%

Muhammad Salman Rais

$602 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Michigan's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary, trader consensus narrowly favors former U.S. Ambassador Bridget Brink (42%) over progressive activist William Lawrence (35.5%), with ex-Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam at 8.5% in a fragmented seven-candidate field. The close contest reflects ideological divisions—Brink's foreign policy experience and endorsements from EMILY's List and ex-state House Speaker drawing moderates, Lawrence's grassroots push via Sunrise Movement ties and a late-March poll showing his lead among likely voters energizing progressives, and Maasdam's military credentials splitting security-focused support—coupled with persistent undecideds in sparse early polling. Q1 fundraising reports underscored parity, keeping odds fluid. Upcoming debates, national party endorsements, or new surveys could consolidate support before the August 4 primary in this battleground targeting GOP incumbent Tom Barrett.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,519
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Michigan's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary, trader consensus narrowly favors former U.S. Ambassador Bridget Brink (42%) over progressive activist William Lawrence (35.5%), with ex-Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam at 8.5% in a fragmented seven-candidate field. The close contest reflects ideological divisions—Brink's foreign policy experience and endorsements from EMILY's List and ex-state House Speaker drawing moderates, Lawrence's grassroots push via Sunrise Movement ties and a late-March poll showing his lead among likely voters energizing progressives, and Maasdam's military credentials splitting security-focused support—coupled with persistent undecideds in sparse early polling. Q1 fundraising reports underscored parity, keeping odds fluid. Upcoming debates, national party endorsements, or new surveys could consolidate support before the August 4 primary in this battleground targeting GOP incumbent Tom Barrett.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,519
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Bridget Brink » à 42%, suivi de « William Lawrence » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 42¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 23, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est « Bridget Brink » à 42%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « William Lawrence » à 36%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.