Trader consensus favors the Mets at 37% implied probability for the 2026 NL East crown, but razor-thin margins over the Phillies (34.5%) and Braves (27%) underscore intense divisional parity driven by aggressive offseason maneuvers. The Mets' blockbuster signing of Juan Soto in 2024 offseason, paired with Lindor and Alonso's prime production, offsets rotation questions post-Senga's injury history, fueling their edge. Philadelphia bolsters its ace duo of Wheeler and Nola with Harper's sustained power, though bullpen depth remains a vulnerability after recent trades. Atlanta's young core—Acuña, Olson, Strider—rebounds from 2025 injury woes, with new additions like Chris Sale stabilizing pitching. Marlins and Nationals lag in rebuilding phases, prioritizing prospects over contention, keeping the top trio's battle fiercely competitive amid balanced schedules and playoff stakes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNew York Mets 37%
Philadelphia Phillies 35%
Braves d'Atlanta 27%
Miami Marlins 6.9%
New York Mets
37%
Philadelphia Phillies
35%
Braves d'Atlanta
27%
Miami Marlins
7%
Washington Nationals
6%
New York Mets 37%
Philadelphia Phillies 35%
Braves d'Atlanta 27%
Miami Marlins 6.9%
New York Mets
37%
Philadelphia Phillies
35%
Braves d'Atlanta
27%
Miami Marlins
7%
Washington Nationals
6%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 National League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 19, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors the Mets at 37% implied probability for the 2026 NL East crown, but razor-thin margins over the Phillies (34.5%) and Braves (27%) underscore intense divisional parity driven by aggressive offseason maneuvers. The Mets' blockbuster signing of Juan Soto in 2024 offseason, paired with Lindor and Alonso's prime production, offsets rotation questions post-Senga's injury history, fueling their edge. Philadelphia bolsters its ace duo of Wheeler and Nola with Harper's sustained power, though bullpen depth remains a vulnerability after recent trades. Atlanta's young core—Acuña, Olson, Strider—rebounds from 2025 injury woes, with new additions like Chris Sale stabilizing pitching. Marlins and Nationals lag in rebuilding phases, prioritizing prospects over contention, keeping the top trio's battle fiercely competitive amid balanced schedules and playoff stakes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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