Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes during the ongoing conflict. He has issued statements on military posture, the Strait of Hormuz, and retaliation but has made no verified public appearances, with remarks read by state media presenters amid reports of possible injury or secure internal hiding. Trader focus on any near-term departure centers on assassination risks prompting evacuation or medical travel abroad, contrasted with Iranian assertions of his continued domestic leadership and regime stability. Ceasefire negotiations, IRGC operations, and U.S. positions on the succession remain key variables through mid-2026, with no confirmed exit recorded to date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,958,419 Vol.
30 juin 2026
30 juin
1%
$1,958,419 Vol.
30 juin
$548,188 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes during the ongoing conflict. He has issued statements on military posture, the Strait of Hormuz, and retaliation but has made no verified public appearances, with remarks read by state media presenters amid reports of possible injury or secure internal hiding. Trader focus on any near-term departure centers on assassination risks prompting evacuation or medical travel abroad, contrasted with Iranian assertions of his continued domestic leadership and regime stability. Ceasefire negotiations, IRGC operations, and U.S. positions on the succession remain key variables through mid-2026, with no confirmed exit recorded to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,958,419Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes during the ongoing conflict. He has issued statements on military posture, the Strait of Hormuz, and retaliation but has made no verified public appearances, with remarks read by state media presenters amid reports of possible injury or secure internal hiding. Trader focus on any near-term departure centers on assassination risks prompting evacuation or medical travel abroad, contrasted with Iranian assertions of his continued domestic leadership and regime stability. Ceasefire negotiations, IRGC operations, and U.S. positions on the succession remain key variables through mid-2026, with no confirmed exit recorded to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,958,419Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes during the ongoing conflict. He has issued statements on military posture, the Strait of Hormuz, and retaliation but has made no verified public appearances, with remarks read by state media presenters amid reports of possible injury or secure internal hiding. Trader focus on any near-term departure centers on assassination risks prompting evacuation or medical travel abroad, contrasted with Iranian assertions of his continued domestic leadership and regime stability. Ceasefire negotiations, IRGC operations, and U.S. positions on the succession remain key variables through mid-2026, with no confirmed exit recorded to date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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