Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February strikes that initiated the 2026 Iran war. He has since issued statements through state media on regional policy, including opposition to U.S. military bases, while remaining based in Iran amid ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel. Reports indicate he sustained injuries in the initial attacks but has not appeared publicly. The Assembly's unanimous selection reflected IRGC influence and a preference for internal continuity over broader clerical consensus during wartime pressures. Any departure from Iran would represent a significant shift in leadership positioning, with traders assessing risks from targeted actions, internal regime dynamics, and diplomatic developments through mid-2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,824,325 Vol.
30 juin 2026
30 juin
2%
$1,824,325 Vol.
30 juin
$414,094 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February strikes that initiated the 2026 Iran war. He has since issued statements through state media on regional policy, including opposition to U.S. military bases, while remaining based in Iran amid ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel. Reports indicate he sustained injuries in the initial attacks but has not appeared publicly. The Assembly's unanimous selection reflected IRGC influence and a preference for internal continuity over broader clerical consensus during wartime pressures. Any departure from Iran would represent a significant shift in leadership positioning, with traders assessing risks from targeted actions, internal regime dynamics, and diplomatic developments through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,824,325Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February strikes that initiated the 2026 Iran war. He has since issued statements through state media on regional policy, including opposition to U.S. military bases, while remaining based in Iran amid ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel. Reports indicate he sustained injuries in the initial attacks but has not appeared publicly. The Assembly's unanimous selection reflected IRGC influence and a preference for internal continuity over broader clerical consensus during wartime pressures. Any departure from Iran would represent a significant shift in leadership positioning, with traders assessing risks from targeted actions, internal regime dynamics, and diplomatic developments through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,824,325Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February strikes that initiated the 2026 Iran war. He has since issued statements through state media on regional policy, including opposition to U.S. military bases, while remaining based in Iran amid ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel. Reports indicate he sustained injuries in the initial attacks but has not appeared publicly. The Assembly's unanimous selection reflected IRGC influence and a preference for internal continuity over broader clerical consensus during wartime pressures. Any departure from Iran would represent a significant shift in leadership positioning, with traders assessing risks from targeted actions, internal regime dynamics, and diplomatic developments through mid-2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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