Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts confirming his selection by the required majority. Trader sentiment on any near-term departure reflects his continued role directing policy, including public statements on military posture and regional negotiations, alongside official assurances of his safety despite limited public appearances. Reports of injuries from strikes and speculation about evacuation or Moscow travel have circulated since the transition, yet no verified exit has occurred and Iranian sources describe him as active in decision-making. Ongoing ceasefire talks, IRGC operations, and internal regime stability remain key variables that could influence movement timelines through mid-2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,976,109 Vol.
30 juin 2026
30 juin
1%
$1,976,109 Vol.
30 juin
$566,723 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts confirming his selection by the required majority. Trader sentiment on any near-term departure reflects his continued role directing policy, including public statements on military posture and regional negotiations, alongside official assurances of his safety despite limited public appearances. Reports of injuries from strikes and speculation about evacuation or Moscow travel have circulated since the transition, yet no verified exit has occurred and Iranian sources describe him as active in decision-making. Ongoing ceasefire talks, IRGC operations, and internal regime stability remain key variables that could influence movement timelines through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,976,109Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts confirming his selection by the required majority. Trader sentiment on any near-term departure reflects his continued role directing policy, including public statements on military posture and regional negotiations, alongside official assurances of his safety despite limited public appearances. Reports of injuries from strikes and speculation about evacuation or Moscow travel have circulated since the transition, yet no verified exit has occurred and Iranian sources describe him as active in decision-making. Ongoing ceasefire talks, IRGC operations, and internal regime stability remain key variables that could influence movement timelines through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,976,109Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts confirming his selection by the required majority. Trader sentiment on any near-term departure reflects his continued role directing policy, including public statements on military posture and regional negotiations, alongside official assurances of his safety despite limited public appearances. Reports of injuries from strikes and speculation about evacuation or Moscow travel have circulated since the transition, yet no verified exit has occurred and Iranian sources describe him as active in decision-making. Ongoing ceasefire talks, IRGC operations, and internal regime stability remain key variables that could influence movement timelines through mid-2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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