Microsoft shares have traded near $355 amid a roughly 25% year-to-date decline from the $555 peak reached in July 2025, despite fiscal Q3 2026 results showing revenue of $82.89 billion and EPS of $4.27 that exceeded estimates, with Azure growth exceeding 40% and AI run-rate surpassing $37 billion. The primary near-term catalyst is the fiscal Q4 earnings release expected around July 28–29, which will directly influence end-of-month closing levels amid ongoing capital expenditure on AI infrastructure and commercial remaining performance obligations near $627 billion. Analyst consensus price targets remain above $560, reflecting sustained cloud and productivity segment momentum, though broader technology sector rotation and memory cost pressures have weighed on near-term sentiment and implied volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of July?
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of July?
NOUVEAU
31 juil. 2026
$270
51%
$285
49%
$300
47%
$315
47%
$330
44%
$345
42%
$360
50%
$375
51%
$390
48%
$405
58%
$420
55%
$435
53%
450 $
50%
$0.00 Vol.
$270
$0 Vol.
51%
$285
$0 Vol.
49%
$300
$0 Vol.
47%
$315
$0 Vol.
47%
$330
$0 Vol.
44%
$345
$0 Vol.
42%
$360
$0 Vol.
50%
$375
$0 Vol.
51%
$390
$0 Vol.
48%
$405
$0 Vol.
58%
$420
$0 Vol.
55%
$435
$0 Vol.
53%
450 $
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft shares have traded near $355 amid a roughly 25% year-to-date decline from the $555 peak reached in July 2025, despite fiscal Q3 2026 results showing revenue of $82.89 billion and EPS of $4.27 that exceeded estimates, with Azure growth exceeding 40% and AI run-rate surpassing $37 billion. The primary near-term catalyst is the fiscal Q4 earnings release expected around July 28–29, which will directly influence end-of-month closing levels amid ongoing capital expenditure on AI infrastructure and commercial remaining performance obligations near $627 billion. Analyst consensus price targets remain above $560, reflecting sustained cloud and productivity segment momentum, though broader technology sector rotation and memory cost pressures have weighed on near-term sentiment and implied volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Jun 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft shares have traded near $355 amid a roughly 25% year-to-date decline from the $555 peak reached in July 2025, despite fiscal Q3 2026 results showing revenue of $82.89 billion and EPS of $4.27 that exceeded estimates, with Azure growth exceeding 40% and AI run-rate surpassing $37 billion. The primary near-term catalyst is the fiscal Q4 earnings release expected around July 28–29, which will directly influence end-of-month closing levels amid ongoing capital expenditure on AI infrastructure and commercial remaining performance obligations near $627 billion. Analyst consensus price targets remain above $560, reflecting sustained cloud and productivity segment momentum, though broader technology sector rotation and memory cost pressures have weighed on near-term sentiment and implied volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$0Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft shares have traded near $355 amid a roughly 25% year-to-date decline from the $555 peak reached in July 2025, despite fiscal Q3 2026 results showing revenue of $82.89 billion and EPS of $4.27 that exceeded estimates, with Azure growth exceeding 40% and AI run-rate surpassing $37 billion. The primary near-term catalyst is the fiscal Q4 earnings release expected around July 28–29, which will directly influence end-of-month closing levels amid ongoing capital expenditure on AI infrastructure and commercial remaining performance obligations near $627 billion. Analyst consensus price targets remain above $560, reflecting sustained cloud and productivity segment momentum, though broader technology sector rotation and memory cost pressures have weighed on near-term sentiment and implied volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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