Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a strong position in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with trader consensus reflected in the 79% Republican probability. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polls from April through June 2026 show her leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by 5–8 points among likely voters. Ayotte benefits from incumbency, high approval ratings, and an independent profile that appeals to moderates in the swing state, mirroring the prior administration’s approach. Warmington, an Executive Councilor, faces an uphill path with limited polling momentum and no major shifts in the race since primaries were set for September 8. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for late developments, yet current data and the absence of competitive Republican primary challenges reinforce the market’s lean toward the GOP nominee.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$11,665 Vol.
$11,665 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
79%
Démocrate
21%
$11,665 Vol.
$11,665 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$4,683 Vol.
79%
Démocrate
$6,982 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a strong position in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with trader consensus reflected in the 79% Republican probability. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polls from April through June 2026 show her leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by 5–8 points among likely voters. Ayotte benefits from incumbency, high approval ratings, and an independent profile that appeals to moderates in the swing state, mirroring the prior administration’s approach. Warmington, an Executive Councilor, faces an uphill path with limited polling momentum and no major shifts in the race since primaries were set for September 8. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for late developments, yet current data and the absence of competitive Republican primary challenges reinforce the market’s lean toward the GOP nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$11,665Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a strong position in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with trader consensus reflected in the 79% Republican probability. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polls from April through June 2026 show her leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by 5–8 points among likely voters. Ayotte benefits from incumbency, high approval ratings, and an independent profile that appeals to moderates in the swing state, mirroring the prior administration’s approach. Warmington, an Executive Councilor, faces an uphill path with limited polling momentum and no major shifts in the race since primaries were set for September 8. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for late developments, yet current data and the absence of competitive Republican primary challenges reinforce the market’s lean toward the GOP nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$11,665Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a strong position in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with trader consensus reflected in the 79% Republican probability. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polls from April through June 2026 show her leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by 5–8 points among likely voters. Ayotte benefits from incumbency, high approval ratings, and an independent profile that appeals to moderates in the swing state, mirroring the prior administration’s approach. Warmington, an Executive Councilor, faces an uphill path with limited polling momentum and no major shifts in the race since primaries were set for September 8. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for late developments, yet current data and the absence of competitive Republican primary challenges reinforce the market’s lean toward the GOP nominee.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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