Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination on September 8 with 65 percent of the primary vote, while John E. Sununu captured the Republican nod with roughly 68-70 percent, setting up a November general election for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. Recent polling averages show Pappas ahead by 3-5 points, reflecting New Hampshire’s modest Democratic lean in federal contests and the absence of a Republican Senate victory in the state since 2010. Sununu’s prior Senate service and family name recognition have kept the contest competitive, prompting toss-up or lean-D ratings from forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Pappas an 83.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical base rates for the party defending an open seat in this environment and limited late-cycle shifts observed so far.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du New Hampshire
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du New Hampshire
$103,168 Vol.
$103,168 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Chris Pappas (D)
84%
John E. Sununu (R)
15%
$103,168 Vol.
$103,168 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Chris Pappas (D)
$70,405 Vol.
84%
John E. Sununu (R)
$32,763 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination on September 8 with 65 percent of the primary vote, while John E. Sununu captured the Republican nod with roughly 68-70 percent, setting up a November general election for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. Recent polling averages show Pappas ahead by 3-5 points, reflecting New Hampshire’s modest Democratic lean in federal contests and the absence of a Republican Senate victory in the state since 2010. Sununu’s prior Senate service and family name recognition have kept the contest competitive, prompting toss-up or lean-D ratings from forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Pappas an 83.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical base rates for the party defending an open seat in this environment and limited late-cycle shifts observed so far.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$103,168Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination on September 8 with 65 percent of the primary vote, while John E. Sununu captured the Republican nod with roughly 68-70 percent, setting up a November general election for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. Recent polling averages show Pappas ahead by 3-5 points, reflecting New Hampshire’s modest Democratic lean in federal contests and the absence of a Republican Senate victory in the state since 2010. Sununu’s prior Senate service and family name recognition have kept the contest competitive, prompting toss-up or lean-D ratings from forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Pappas an 83.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical base rates for the party defending an open seat in this environment and limited late-cycle shifts observed so far.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$103,168Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination on September 8 with 65 percent of the primary vote, while John E. Sununu captured the Republican nod with roughly 68-70 percent, setting up a November general election for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. Recent polling averages show Pappas ahead by 3-5 points, reflecting New Hampshire’s modest Democratic lean in federal contests and the absence of a Republican Senate victory in the state since 2010. Sununu’s prior Senate service and family name recognition have kept the contest competitive, prompting toss-up or lean-D ratings from forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Pappas an 83.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical base rates for the party defending an open seat in this environment and limited late-cycle shifts observed so far.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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