Massachusetts voters have consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins for over a decade, reflecting the state's partisan composition and turnout patterns. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a lead in the September 1 Democratic primary over challenger Seth Moulton according to recent polling averages, while Republican contenders remain limited in visibility and resources ahead of their own primary. Forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic. The implied probability in trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts in candidate positioning or external events. A late primary upset or unusually strong Republican mobilization could still alter the outcome before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Massachusetts
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Massachusetts
$13,192 Vol.
$13,192 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
96%
Républicain
4%
$13,192 Vol.
$13,192 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$8,548 Vol.
96%
Républicain
$4,643 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins for over a decade, reflecting the state's partisan composition and turnout patterns. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a lead in the September 1 Democratic primary over challenger Seth Moulton according to recent polling averages, while Republican contenders remain limited in visibility and resources ahead of their own primary. Forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic. The implied probability in trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts in candidate positioning or external events. A late primary upset or unusually strong Republican mobilization could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$13,192Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins for over a decade, reflecting the state's partisan composition and turnout patterns. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a lead in the September 1 Democratic primary over challenger Seth Moulton according to recent polling averages, while Republican contenders remain limited in visibility and resources ahead of their own primary. Forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic. The implied probability in trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts in candidate positioning or external events. A late primary upset or unusually strong Republican mobilization could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$13,192Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins for over a decade, reflecting the state's partisan composition and turnout patterns. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a lead in the September 1 Democratic primary over challenger Seth Moulton according to recent polling averages, while Republican contenders remain limited in visibility and resources ahead of their own primary. Forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic. The implied probability in trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts in candidate positioning or external events. A late primary upset or unusually strong Republican mobilization could still alter the outcome before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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