Recent polling in the Ohio U.S. Senate special election shows Republican incumbent Jon Husted holding a narrow 2- to 3-point lead over Democrat Sherrod Brown ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest. Both candidates secured their party nominations without significant opposition in the May 5 primaries. Brown's established statewide profile from three prior Senate terms, combined with over $12 million raised in the first quarter, underpins trader positioning that assigns the Democratic nominee a 57.5% implied probability despite the state's recent Republican tilt. The race centers on turnout among suburban and working-class voters, campaign spending levels, and any national political shifts that could alter the narrow margin before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$80,800 Vol.
$80,800 Vol.

Démocrate
57%

Républicain
44%
$80,800 Vol.
$80,800 Vol.

Démocrate
57%

Républicain
44%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in the Ohio U.S. Senate special election shows Republican incumbent Jon Husted holding a narrow 2- to 3-point lead over Democrat Sherrod Brown ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest. Both candidates secured their party nominations without significant opposition in the May 5 primaries. Brown's established statewide profile from three prior Senate terms, combined with over $12 million raised in the first quarter, underpins trader positioning that assigns the Democratic nominee a 57.5% implied probability despite the state's recent Republican tilt. The race centers on turnout among suburban and working-class voters, campaign spending levels, and any national political shifts that could alter the narrow margin before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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