Tennessee's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in its R+10 or stronger partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent David Kustoff secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary, continuing a tenure that began in 2017 and featured general election wins exceeding 70 percent. Recent redistricting further strengthened the district by incorporating additional suburban and exurban areas around Memphis with high Republican turnout. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead because no Democratic challenger has demonstrated the fundraising, name recognition, or structural path to overcome these fundamentals ahead of the November general election. A major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TN-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$30,768 Vol.
$30,768 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
92%
Parti démocrate
6%
$30,768 Vol.
$30,768 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$18,242 Vol.
92%
Parti démocrate
$12,526 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in its R+10 or stronger partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent David Kustoff secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary, continuing a tenure that began in 2017 and featured general election wins exceeding 70 percent. Recent redistricting further strengthened the district by incorporating additional suburban and exurban areas around Memphis with high Republican turnout. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead because no Democratic challenger has demonstrated the fundraising, name recognition, or structural path to overcome these fundamentals ahead of the November general election. A major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$30,768Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in its R+10 or stronger partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent David Kustoff secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary, continuing a tenure that began in 2017 and featured general election wins exceeding 70 percent. Recent redistricting further strengthened the district by incorporating additional suburban and exurban areas around Memphis with high Republican turnout. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead because no Democratic challenger has demonstrated the fundraising, name recognition, or structural path to overcome these fundamentals ahead of the November general election. A major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,768Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in its R+10 or stronger partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent David Kustoff secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary, continuing a tenure that began in 2017 and featured general election wins exceeding 70 percent. Recent redistricting further strengthened the district by incorporating additional suburban and exurban areas around Memphis with high Republican turnout. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead because no Democratic challenger has demonstrated the fundraising, name recognition, or structural path to overcome these fundamentals ahead of the November general election. A major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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