Texas voters head into the 2026 U.S. Senate contest with the Republican nominee still unresolved after the March primaries produced a May 26 runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, while state Representative James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination. Recent general-election polling shows narrow head-to-head matchups, with Talarico competitive or slightly ahead of either Republican, reflecting strong Democratic base support and turnout dynamics. Texas's consistent Republican performance in federal elections underpins the modest trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee. Donald Trump's recent endorsement of Paxton has intensified the runoff contest, though general-election dynamics and the state's electoral history keep both parties' prospects within striking distance ahead of November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas
$245,762 Vol.
$245,762 Vol.

Républicain
55%

Démocrate
45%
$245,762 Vol.
$245,762 Vol.

Républicain
55%

Démocrate
45%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas voters head into the 2026 U.S. Senate contest with the Republican nominee still unresolved after the March primaries produced a May 26 runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, while state Representative James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination. Recent general-election polling shows narrow head-to-head matchups, with Talarico competitive or slightly ahead of either Republican, reflecting strong Democratic base support and turnout dynamics. Texas's consistent Republican performance in federal elections underpins the modest trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee. Donald Trump's recent endorsement of Paxton has intensified the runoff contest, though general-election dynamics and the state's electoral history keep both parties' prospects within striking distance ahead of November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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