Paxton's decisive victory in the May 26 Republican primary runoff against longtime incumbent John Cornyn, bolstered by a late endorsement from President Trump, has positioned the attorney general as the consensus favorite in this solidly Republican state. Traders appear to weigh Texas's consistent GOP dominance in federal elections and structural advantages in turnout and voter base more heavily than Democratic nominee Talarico's early general-election momentum. Talarico has pivoted to highlighting Paxton's prior impeachment and other controversies through attack ads, and a recent poll shows the Democrat leading narrowly among likely voters. Upcoming campaign developments through November could still shift the race, though the market's pricing reflects the enduring partisan lean.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas
$411,623 Vol.
$411,623 Vol.

Ken Paxton (R)
61%

James Talarico (D)
40%
$411,623 Vol.
$411,623 Vol.

Ken Paxton (R)
61%

James Talarico (D)
40%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Paxton's decisive victory in the May 26 Republican primary runoff against longtime incumbent John Cornyn, bolstered by a late endorsement from President Trump, has positioned the attorney general as the consensus favorite in this solidly Republican state. Traders appear to weigh Texas's consistent GOP dominance in federal elections and structural advantages in turnout and voter base more heavily than Democratic nominee Talarico's early general-election momentum. Talarico has pivoted to highlighting Paxton's prior impeachment and other controversies through attack ads, and a recent poll shows the Democrat leading narrowly among likely voters. Upcoming campaign developments through November could still shift the race, though the market's pricing reflects the enduring partisan lean.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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