Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean, her strong primary victory as lieutenant governor, and the party’s long record of holding statewide offices. Republicans have not won a Minnesota Senate race since 2002, and the open seat vacated by Tina Smith favors the DFL nominee in most historical and polling baselines. Recent polling shows the race tightening around welfare-fraud concerns and Michele Tafoya’s messaging on government accountability, yet traders appear to discount these factors given structural advantages for Democrats. Late developments such as major scandals, shifts in national conditions, or unusually high turnout among non-college voters could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Minnesota
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Minnesota
$93,449 Vol.
$93,449 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
93%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$93,449 Vol.
$93,449 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$63,577 Vol.
93%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$29,873 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean, her strong primary victory as lieutenant governor, and the party’s long record of holding statewide offices. Republicans have not won a Minnesota Senate race since 2002, and the open seat vacated by Tina Smith favors the DFL nominee in most historical and polling baselines. Recent polling shows the race tightening around welfare-fraud concerns and Michele Tafoya’s messaging on government accountability, yet traders appear to discount these factors given structural advantages for Democrats. Late developments such as major scandals, shifts in national conditions, or unusually high turnout among non-college voters could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$93,449Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean, her strong primary victory as lieutenant governor, and the party’s long record of holding statewide offices. Republicans have not won a Minnesota Senate race since 2002, and the open seat vacated by Tina Smith favors the DFL nominee in most historical and polling baselines. Recent polling shows the race tightening around welfare-fraud concerns and Michele Tafoya’s messaging on government accountability, yet traders appear to discount these factors given structural advantages for Democrats. Late developments such as major scandals, shifts in national conditions, or unusually high turnout among non-college voters could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$93,449Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2f5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean, her strong primary victory as lieutenant governor, and the party’s long record of holding statewide offices. Republicans have not won a Minnesota Senate race since 2002, and the open seat vacated by Tina Smith favors the DFL nominee in most historical and polling baselines. Recent polling shows the race tightening around welfare-fraud concerns and Michele Tafoya’s messaging on government accountability, yet traders appear to discount these factors given structural advantages for Democrats. Late developments such as major scandals, shifts in national conditions, or unusually high turnout among non-college voters could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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