Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott seeks a fourth term against Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa in the November 3, 2026, Texas gubernatorial election. Trader consensus at 72.5% for Abbott reflects the state's long Republican dominance, his strong primary performance, and advantages on border security and election integrity messaging. Recent polling averages show the race tightening to roughly a three-point Republican lead, driven by Hinojosa's gains among independents and Latino voters on affordability, public schools, and concerns over data center impacts. Campaign exchanges have intensified, with Abbott highlighting contract issues and Hinojosa targeting donor influence, though structural factors continue to shape the current market positioning ahead of the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Texas
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Texas
$178,892 Vol.
$178,892 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Greg Abbott (R)
73%
Gina Hinojosa (D)
27%
$178,892 Vol.
$178,892 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Greg Abbott (R)
$72,711 Vol.
73%
Gina Hinojosa (D)
$106,181 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott seeks a fourth term against Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa in the November 3, 2026, Texas gubernatorial election. Trader consensus at 72.5% for Abbott reflects the state's long Republican dominance, his strong primary performance, and advantages on border security and election integrity messaging. Recent polling averages show the race tightening to roughly a three-point Republican lead, driven by Hinojosa's gains among independents and Latino voters on affordability, public schools, and concerns over data center impacts. Campaign exchanges have intensified, with Abbott highlighting contract issues and Hinojosa targeting donor influence, though structural factors continue to shape the current market positioning ahead of the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$178,892Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott seeks a fourth term against Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa in the November 3, 2026, Texas gubernatorial election. Trader consensus at 72.5% for Abbott reflects the state's long Republican dominance, his strong primary performance, and advantages on border security and election integrity messaging. Recent polling averages show the race tightening to roughly a three-point Republican lead, driven by Hinojosa's gains among independents and Latino voters on affordability, public schools, and concerns over data center impacts. Campaign exchanges have intensified, with Abbott highlighting contract issues and Hinojosa targeting donor influence, though structural factors continue to shape the current market positioning ahead of the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$178,892Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott seeks a fourth term against Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa in the November 3, 2026, Texas gubernatorial election. Trader consensus at 72.5% for Abbott reflects the state's long Republican dominance, his strong primary performance, and advantages on border security and election integrity messaging. Recent polling averages show the race tightening to roughly a three-point Republican lead, driven by Hinojosa's gains among independents and Latino voters on affordability, public schools, and concerns over data center impacts. Campaign exchanges have intensified, with Abbott highlighting contract issues and Hinojosa targeting donor influence, though structural factors continue to shape the current market positioning ahead of the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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