Florida's strong Republican lean and consistent polling advantage position the GOP nominee as the clear favorite in the open-seat 2026 gubernatorial race. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds has dominated recent primary surveys and holds a 6- to 7-point edge over likely Democratic nominee David Jolly in general-election matchups from July and early August 2026. Florida's Republican trifecta, voter registration trends, and the state's history of GOP victories in statewide contests reinforce this positioning. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling dynamics, though the November 3 general election remains months away and subject to shifts from turnout or late developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$34,152 Vol.
$34,152 Vol.

Républicain
84%

Démocrate
16%
$34,152 Vol.
$34,152 Vol.

Républicain
84%

Démocrate
16%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's strong Republican lean and consistent polling advantage position the GOP nominee as the clear favorite in the open-seat 2026 gubernatorial race. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds has dominated recent primary surveys and holds a 6- to 7-point edge over likely Democratic nominee David Jolly in general-election matchups from July and early August 2026. Florida's Republican trifecta, voter registration trends, and the state's history of GOP victories in statewide contests reinforce this positioning. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling dynamics, though the November 3 general election remains months away and subject to shifts from turnout or late developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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