Byron Donalds maintains a clear edge in trader assessments for the 2026 Florida governor race due to the state's substantial Republican voter registration advantage, his dominant primary performance backed by endorsements from President Trump and Governor DeSantis, and a massive fundraising lead exceeding $40 million in cash on hand. Recent polling has tightened the contest into a statistical tie or narrow Donalds advantage in aggregates, prompting some forecasters to shift ratings toward toss-up or lean Republican territory. Key campaign contrasts center on property insurance costs and affordability, with Jolly advocating expanded state intervention and Donalds emphasizing private-sector approaches and limited government. The November election timeline and persistent structural factors continue to anchor market probabilities ahead of further developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Floride
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Floride
$178,593 Vol.
$178,593 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
73%
David Jolly (D)
28%
$178,593 Vol.
$178,593 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$84,206 Vol.
73%
David Jolly (D)
$94,387 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds maintains a clear edge in trader assessments for the 2026 Florida governor race due to the state's substantial Republican voter registration advantage, his dominant primary performance backed by endorsements from President Trump and Governor DeSantis, and a massive fundraising lead exceeding $40 million in cash on hand. Recent polling has tightened the contest into a statistical tie or narrow Donalds advantage in aggregates, prompting some forecasters to shift ratings toward toss-up or lean Republican territory. Key campaign contrasts center on property insurance costs and affordability, with Jolly advocating expanded state intervention and Donalds emphasizing private-sector approaches and limited government. The November election timeline and persistent structural factors continue to anchor market probabilities ahead of further developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$178,593Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds maintains a clear edge in trader assessments for the 2026 Florida governor race due to the state's substantial Republican voter registration advantage, his dominant primary performance backed by endorsements from President Trump and Governor DeSantis, and a massive fundraising lead exceeding $40 million in cash on hand. Recent polling has tightened the contest into a statistical tie or narrow Donalds advantage in aggregates, prompting some forecasters to shift ratings toward toss-up or lean Republican territory. Key campaign contrasts center on property insurance costs and affordability, with Jolly advocating expanded state intervention and Donalds emphasizing private-sector approaches and limited government. The November election timeline and persistent structural factors continue to anchor market probabilities ahead of further developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$178,593Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x2f5e3684c...Byron Donalds maintains a clear edge in trader assessments for the 2026 Florida governor race due to the state's substantial Republican voter registration advantage, his dominant primary performance backed by endorsements from President Trump and Governor DeSantis, and a massive fundraising lead exceeding $40 million in cash on hand. Recent polling has tightened the contest into a statistical tie or narrow Donalds advantage in aggregates, prompting some forecasters to shift ratings toward toss-up or lean Republican territory. Key campaign contrasts center on property insurance costs and affordability, with Jolly advocating expanded state intervention and Donalds emphasizing private-sector approaches and limited government. The November election timeline and persistent structural factors continue to anchor market probabilities ahead of further developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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