The boycott of the Clacton by-election by Labour, the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats, and other major parties positioned Count Binface as the sole credible challenger to Nigel Farage of Reform UK. This unusual dynamic, combined with widespread media coverage and reported tactical voting against the incumbent, drove Binface's support well above his typical single-digit results in prior contests. Pre-election surveys placed him near 20 percent, aligning with the market's decisive pricing on the 20–30 percent outcome band. The 26.9 percent share ultimately recorded confirms the crowd's assessment of these structural factors. Shifts in turnout or last-minute candidate entries could have altered the range, though neither materialized here.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection partielle de Clacton : comptez le % de vote Binface
Binface 20–30 % 100.0%
Binface <10 % <1%
Binface 10–20 % <1%
Binface 30–40 % <1%
$543,133 Vol.
$543,133 Vol.
Binface <10 %
Non
Binface 10–20 %
Non
Binface 20–30 %
Oui
Binface 30–40 %
Non
Binface 40 %+
Non
Binface 20–30 % 100.0%
Binface <10 % <1%
Binface 10–20 % <1%
Binface 30–40 % <1%
$543,133 Vol.
$543,133 Vol.
Binface <10 %
Non
Binface 10–20 %
Non
Binface 20–30 %
Oui
Binface 30–40 %
Non
Binface 40 %+
Non
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The boycott of the Clacton by-election by Labour, the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats, and other major parties positioned Count Binface as the sole credible challenger to Nigel Farage of Reform UK. This unusual dynamic, combined with widespread media coverage and reported tactical voting against the incumbent, drove Binface's support well above his typical single-digit results in prior contests. Pre-election surveys placed him near 20 percent, aligning with the market's decisive pricing on the 20–30 percent outcome band. The 26.9 percent share ultimately recorded confirms the crowd's assessment of these structural factors. Shifts in turnout or last-minute candidate entries could have altered the range, though neither materialized here.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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