Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under investigation for misconduct in public office following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of sharing confidential information during his time as a UK trade envoy, but he has not been charged. UK prosecutors face a high evidentiary threshold for this uncommon offense, with experts noting rare successful convictions and sentences typically ranging from one to several years rather than lengthy terms. No criminal proceedings have advanced since his release without conditions, consistent with the prior civil settlement over Epstein-related allegations and the absence of new charges. Traders assign 97.5% probability to no prison sentence due to these procedural and legal barriers. Potential shifts could arise from formal charges, new evidence emerging in the ongoing probe, or Crown Prosecution Service decisions within the coming months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
3% chance
$220,883 Vol.
$220,883 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
3% chance
$220,883 Vol.
$220,883 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under investigation for misconduct in public office following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of sharing confidential information during his time as a UK trade envoy, but he has not been charged. UK prosecutors face a high evidentiary threshold for this uncommon offense, with experts noting rare successful convictions and sentences typically ranging from one to several years rather than lengthy terms. No criminal proceedings have advanced since his release without conditions, consistent with the prior civil settlement over Epstein-related allegations and the absence of new charges. Traders assign 97.5% probability to no prison sentence due to these procedural and legal barriers. Potential shifts could arise from formal charges, new evidence emerging in the ongoing probe, or Crown Prosecution Service decisions within the coming months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$220,883Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under investigation for misconduct in public office following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of sharing confidential information during his time as a UK trade envoy, but he has not been charged. UK prosecutors face a high evidentiary threshold for this uncommon offense, with experts noting rare successful convictions and sentences typically ranging from one to several years rather than lengthy terms. No criminal proceedings have advanced since his release without conditions, consistent with the prior civil settlement over Epstein-related allegations and the absence of new charges. Traders assign 97.5% probability to no prison sentence due to these procedural and legal barriers. Potential shifts could arise from formal charges, new evidence emerging in the ongoing probe, or Crown Prosecution Service decisions within the coming months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$220,883Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under investigation for misconduct in public office following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of sharing confidential information during his time as a UK trade envoy, but he has not been charged. UK prosecutors face a high evidentiary threshold for this uncommon offense, with experts noting rare successful convictions and sentences typically ranging from one to several years rather than lengthy terms. No criminal proceedings have advanced since his release without conditions, consistent with the prior civil settlement over Epstein-related allegations and the absence of new charges. Traders assign 97.5% probability to no prison sentence due to these procedural and legal barriers. Potential shifts could arise from formal charges, new evidence emerging in the ongoing probe, or Crown Prosecution Service decisions within the coming months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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