**Bipartisan congressional opposition and sustained political risk have anchored trader expectations against a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by December 31, 2026.** The Senate unanimously adopted a resolution in July 2026 opposing clemency, citing her sex-trafficking conviction tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered the matter and would consult the Department of Justice if approached, while declining to rule it out. Maxwell’s federal appeals were rejected by courts as recently as August 2026, leaving a pardon or commutation as her primary remaining option, yet no formal application has advanced through the pardon attorney process. Ongoing releases of Epstein-related files and survivor advocacy have kept scrutiny elevated, reinforcing the view among traders that any grant would carry substantial downside before the end of Trump’s term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
8% chance
$756,869 Vol.
$756,869 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
Gagnez 3.25%
Oui
8% chance
$756,869 Vol.
$756,869 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
Gagnez 3.25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Bipartisan congressional opposition and sustained political risk have anchored trader expectations against a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by December 31, 2026.** The Senate unanimously adopted a resolution in July 2026 opposing clemency, citing her sex-trafficking conviction tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered the matter and would consult the Department of Justice if approached, while declining to rule it out. Maxwell’s federal appeals were rejected by courts as recently as August 2026, leaving a pardon or commutation as her primary remaining option, yet no formal application has advanced through the pardon attorney process. Ongoing releases of Epstein-related files and survivor advocacy have kept scrutiny elevated, reinforcing the view among traders that any grant would carry substantial downside before the end of Trump’s term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volume
$756,869Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETRésolveur
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Bipartisan congressional opposition and sustained political risk have anchored trader expectations against a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by December 31, 2026.** The Senate unanimously adopted a resolution in July 2026 opposing clemency, citing her sex-trafficking conviction tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered the matter and would consult the Department of Justice if approached, while declining to rule it out. Maxwell’s federal appeals were rejected by courts as recently as August 2026, leaving a pardon or commutation as her primary remaining option, yet no formal application has advanced through the pardon attorney process. Ongoing releases of Epstein-related files and survivor advocacy have kept scrutiny elevated, reinforcing the view among traders that any grant would carry substantial downside before the end of Trump’s term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$756,869Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETRésolveur
0x157Ce2d67...**Bipartisan congressional opposition and sustained political risk have anchored trader expectations against a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by December 31, 2026.** The Senate unanimously adopted a resolution in July 2026 opposing clemency, citing her sex-trafficking conviction tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered the matter and would consult the Department of Justice if approached, while declining to rule it out. Maxwell’s federal appeals were rejected by courts as recently as August 2026, leaving a pardon or commutation as her primary remaining option, yet no formal application has advanced through the pardon attorney process. Ongoing releases of Epstein-related files and survivor advocacy have kept scrutiny elevated, reinforcing the view among traders that any grant would carry substantial downside before the end of Trump’s term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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