Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to Vladimir Putin remaining Russia's president through December 31, 2026, reflecting his firm constitutional hold—current term ending in 2030, with prior amendments enabling service until 2036—and unchallenged control over security apparatus, judiciary, and elite networks. No verified developments in the past 30 days, including unconfirmed health rumors recirculated in March or isolated public criticism from influencers in late April, signal incapacity, resignation, or coup risks amid ongoing Ukraine military stalemate and economic strains from sanctions. Absent sudden elite defections, severe health crisis, or internal revolt, structural barriers sustain high odds of continuity, though rapid geopolitical shifts could alter trajectories.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPoutine à la présidence de la Russie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
Poutine à la présidence de la Russie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
Oui
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Gagnez 4%
Oui
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Gagnez 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to Vladimir Putin remaining Russia's president through December 31, 2026, reflecting his firm constitutional hold—current term ending in 2030, with prior amendments enabling service until 2036—and unchallenged control over security apparatus, judiciary, and elite networks. No verified developments in the past 30 days, including unconfirmed health rumors recirculated in March or isolated public criticism from influencers in late April, signal incapacity, resignation, or coup risks amid ongoing Ukraine military stalemate and economic strains from sanctions. Absent sudden elite defections, severe health crisis, or internal revolt, structural barriers sustain high odds of continuity, though rapid geopolitical shifts could alter trajectories.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$4,270,274Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRésolveur
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to Vladimir Putin remaining Russia's president through December 31, 2026, reflecting his firm constitutional hold—current term ending in 2030, with prior amendments enabling service until 2036—and unchallenged control over security apparatus, judiciary, and elite networks. No verified developments in the past 30 days, including unconfirmed health rumors recirculated in March or isolated public criticism from influencers in late April, signal incapacity, resignation, or coup risks amid ongoing Ukraine military stalemate and economic strains from sanctions. Absent sudden elite defections, severe health crisis, or internal revolt, structural barriers sustain high odds of continuity, though rapid geopolitical shifts could alter trajectories.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,270,274Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRésolveur
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to Vladimir Putin remaining Russia's president through December 31, 2026, reflecting his firm constitutional hold—current term ending in 2030, with prior amendments enabling service until 2036—and unchallenged control over security apparatus, judiciary, and elite networks. No verified developments in the past 30 days, including unconfirmed health rumors recirculated in March or isolated public criticism from influencers in late April, signal incapacity, resignation, or coup risks amid ongoing Ukraine military stalemate and economic strains from sanctions. Absent sudden elite defections, severe health crisis, or internal revolt, structural barriers sustain high odds of continuity, though rapid geopolitical shifts could alter trajectories.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes