Vladimir Putin’s constitutional eligibility for reelection in 2030 under the 2020 term-reset amendments, combined with his active engagement in foreign policy, economic forums, and military coordination as of June 2026, underpins the 91.5% trader consensus against his removal by year-end. Recent statements sidestepping questions on a 2036 horizon while affirming ongoing leadership priorities signal continuity rather than transition. No verified challenges from elites, health disclosures, or institutional shifts have emerged to alter this positioning in the past month. The wisdom of crowds in this market reflects Russia’s centralized power structure and historical patterns of incumbency stability, with resolution hinging on whether Putin vacates the presidency before December 31, 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPoutine à la présidence de la Russie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
Oui
$7,151,814 Vol.
$7,151,814 Vol.
Oui
$7,151,814 Vol.
$7,151,814 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Résolveur
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin’s constitutional eligibility for reelection in 2030 under the 2020 term-reset amendments, combined with his active engagement in foreign policy, economic forums, and military coordination as of June 2026, underpins the 91.5% trader consensus against his removal by year-end. Recent statements sidestepping questions on a 2036 horizon while affirming ongoing leadership priorities signal continuity rather than transition. No verified challenges from elites, health disclosures, or institutional shifts have emerged to alter this positioning in the past month. The wisdom of crowds in this market reflects Russia’s centralized power structure and historical patterns of incumbency stability, with resolution hinging on whether Putin vacates the presidency before December 31, 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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