Trump and Putin have maintained periodic phone contact in 2026, including calls in July that reaffirmed plans for further dialogue on Ukraine and bilateral issues, yet no in-person summit has been confirmed for the remainder of the year. This backdrop supports the dominant market view that no meeting will occur by December 31. Prior 2025 talks in Alaska and a briefly referenced July 2026 Helsinki plan have not produced follow-through momentum amid ongoing Russo-Ukrainian fighting and competing diplomatic priorities. Locations such as China or Russia register lower probabilities, reflecting limited near-term scheduling signals and the preference for virtual or third-party channels. Traders appear to weigh the absence of announced dates or venues against historical patterns of infrequent presidential summits during active conflicts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù Trump et Poutine se rencontreront-ils en 2026 ?
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 76%
China 14%
Russia 2.5%
United States 1.4%
$279,431 Vol.
$279,431 Vol.

Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
76%

China
14%

Russia
3%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Belarus
1%

South Korea
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Finland
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 76%
China 14%
Russia 2.5%
United States 1.4%
$279,431 Vol.
$279,431 Vol.

Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
76%

China
14%

Russia
3%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Belarus
1%

South Korea
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Finland
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump and Putin have maintained periodic phone contact in 2026, including calls in July that reaffirmed plans for further dialogue on Ukraine and bilateral issues, yet no in-person summit has been confirmed for the remainder of the year. This backdrop supports the dominant market view that no meeting will occur by December 31. Prior 2025 talks in Alaska and a briefly referenced July 2026 Helsinki plan have not produced follow-through momentum amid ongoing Russo-Ukrainian fighting and competing diplomatic priorities. Locations such as China or Russia register lower probabilities, reflecting limited near-term scheduling signals and the preference for virtual or third-party channels. Traders appear to weigh the absence of announced dates or venues against historical patterns of infrequent presidential summits during active conflicts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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