Ongoing US-Russia diplomatic engagement under the Trump administration faces significant constraints from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, contributing to the 60.5% implied probability of no bilateral meeting by year-end. China leads at 32.5% as traders weigh its position as a potential neutral venue amid strained bilateral ties and limited recent high-level contacts. Locations like the United States or European sites remain low-probability due to security, political, and logistical hurdles. No major summit announcements or breakthroughs in the past month have altered positioning, leaving the market sensitive to any verified diplomatic signals or conflict developments within the remaining resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù Trump et Poutine se rencontreront-ils en 2026 ?
Où Trump et Poutine se rencontreront-ils en 2026 ?
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 62%
China 34%
United States 2.8%
Gulf country <1%
$496,332 Vol.
$496,332 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
62%
China
34%
United States
3%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Other EU country
1%
Turkey
1%
Russia
1%
Switzerland
1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 62%
China 34%
United States 2.8%
Gulf country <1%
$496,332 Vol.
$496,332 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
$101,702 Vol.
62%
China
$63,115 Vol.
34%
United States
$25,355 Vol.
3%
Gulf country
$17,282 Vol.
1%
Other
$18,160 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$16,060 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$25,095 Vol.
1%
Russia
$66,497 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$20,695 Vol.
1%
Finland
$21,461 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$19,715 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$17,474 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$17,686 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$24,772 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Russia diplomatic engagement under the Trump administration faces significant constraints from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, contributing to the 60.5% implied probability of no bilateral meeting by year-end. China leads at 32.5% as traders weigh its position as a potential neutral venue amid strained bilateral ties and limited recent high-level contacts. Locations like the United States or European sites remain low-probability due to security, political, and logistical hurdles. No major summit announcements or breakthroughs in the past month have altered positioning, leaving the market sensitive to any verified diplomatic signals or conflict developments within the remaining resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$496,332Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Russia diplomatic engagement under the Trump administration faces significant constraints from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, contributing to the 60.5% implied probability of no bilateral meeting by year-end. China leads at 32.5% as traders weigh its position as a potential neutral venue amid strained bilateral ties and limited recent high-level contacts. Locations like the United States or European sites remain low-probability due to security, political, and logistical hurdles. No major summit announcements or breakthroughs in the past month have altered positioning, leaving the market sensitive to any verified diplomatic signals or conflict developments within the remaining resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$496,332Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing US-Russia diplomatic engagement under the Trump administration faces significant constraints from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, contributing to the 60.5% implied probability of no bilateral meeting by year-end. China leads at 32.5% as traders weigh its position as a potential neutral venue amid strained bilateral ties and limited recent high-level contacts. Locations like the United States or European sites remain low-probability due to security, political, and logistical hurdles. No major summit announcements or breakthroughs in the past month have altered positioning, leaving the market sensitive to any verified diplomatic signals or conflict developments within the remaining resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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