Ukraine's government under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has shown institutional continuity through mid-2026 amid the ongoing conflict with Russia. Recent Ukrainian deep-strike drone operations against Russian targets in August, including large-scale attacks on August 17, coincide with Russian advances in Donetsk and strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure. Domestic developments include ongoing investigations into defense procurement and money laundering cases involving senior officials, which have prompted parliamentary scrutiny but no verified institutional challenges or elite fractures. International diplomatic efforts, including U.S.-mediated talks, remain stalled over territorial and security issues. Traders assess coup-related probabilities against these military pressures, economic strains, and the absence of organized domestic opposition movements capable of altering leadership through non-electoral means. Upcoming events include continued battlefield developments and any shifts in Western support that could influence internal cohesion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$169,153 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre
7%
$169,153 Vol.
31 décembre
$151,317 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's government under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has shown institutional continuity through mid-2026 amid the ongoing conflict with Russia. Recent Ukrainian deep-strike drone operations against Russian targets in August, including large-scale attacks on August 17, coincide with Russian advances in Donetsk and strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure. Domestic developments include ongoing investigations into defense procurement and money laundering cases involving senior officials, which have prompted parliamentary scrutiny but no verified institutional challenges or elite fractures. International diplomatic efforts, including U.S.-mediated talks, remain stalled over territorial and security issues. Traders assess coup-related probabilities against these military pressures, economic strains, and the absence of organized domestic opposition movements capable of altering leadership through non-electoral means. Upcoming events include continued battlefield developments and any shifts in Western support that could influence internal cohesion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$169,153Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's government under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has shown institutional continuity through mid-2026 amid the ongoing conflict with Russia. Recent Ukrainian deep-strike drone operations against Russian targets in August, including large-scale attacks on August 17, coincide with Russian advances in Donetsk and strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure. Domestic developments include ongoing investigations into defense procurement and money laundering cases involving senior officials, which have prompted parliamentary scrutiny but no verified institutional challenges or elite fractures. International diplomatic efforts, including U.S.-mediated talks, remain stalled over territorial and security issues. Traders assess coup-related probabilities against these military pressures, economic strains, and the absence of organized domestic opposition movements capable of altering leadership through non-electoral means. Upcoming events include continued battlefield developments and any shifts in Western support that could influence internal cohesion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$169,153Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's government under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has shown institutional continuity through mid-2026 amid the ongoing conflict with Russia. Recent Ukrainian deep-strike drone operations against Russian targets in August, including large-scale attacks on August 17, coincide with Russian advances in Donetsk and strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure. Domestic developments include ongoing investigations into defense procurement and money laundering cases involving senior officials, which have prompted parliamentary scrutiny but no verified institutional challenges or elite fractures. International diplomatic efforts, including U.S.-mediated talks, remain stalled over territorial and security issues. Traders assess coup-related probabilities against these military pressures, economic strains, and the absence of organized domestic opposition movements capable of altering leadership through non-electoral means. Upcoming events include continued battlefield developments and any shifts in Western support that could influence internal cohesion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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