Xi Jinping's consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins trader expectations that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Recent military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior vice chairman General Zhang Youxia for alleged discipline violations, have further centralized power and eliminated potential rivals without triggering resistance or factional pushback. Official emphasis on stability and self-reliance in early 2026 policy addresses reinforces this positioning. While historical patterns of unverified rumors have consistently failed to materialize into challenges, credible shifts could still arise from sudden leadership health events, severe economic dislocations fracturing elite consensus, or major external crises testing institutional loyalty before the 2027 Party Congress.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$135,961 Vol.
$135,961 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$135,961 Vol.
$135,961 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins trader expectations that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Recent military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior vice chairman General Zhang Youxia for alleged discipline violations, have further centralized power and eliminated potential rivals without triggering resistance or factional pushback. Official emphasis on stability and self-reliance in early 2026 policy addresses reinforces this positioning. While historical patterns of unverified rumors have consistently failed to materialize into challenges, credible shifts could still arise from sudden leadership health events, severe economic dislocations fracturing elite consensus, or major external crises testing institutional loyalty before the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$135,961Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins trader expectations that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Recent military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior vice chairman General Zhang Youxia for alleged discipline violations, have further centralized power and eliminated potential rivals without triggering resistance or factional pushback. Official emphasis on stability and self-reliance in early 2026 policy addresses reinforces this positioning. While historical patterns of unverified rumors have consistently failed to materialize into challenges, credible shifts could still arise from sudden leadership health events, severe economic dislocations fracturing elite consensus, or major external crises testing institutional loyalty before the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$135,961Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins trader expectations that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Recent military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior vice chairman General Zhang Youxia for alleged discipline violations, have further centralized power and eliminated potential rivals without triggering resistance or factional pushback. Official emphasis on stability and self-reliance in early 2026 policy addresses reinforces this positioning. While historical patterns of unverified rumors have consistently failed to materialize into challenges, credible shifts could still arise from sudden leadership health events, severe economic dislocations fracturing elite consensus, or major external crises testing institutional loyalty before the 2027 Party Congress.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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