Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority through repeated purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission vice chairmen and other top commanders through mid-2026, has removed potential institutional centers of resistance and installed loyalists in key posts. These actions, officially tied to corruption and discipline violations, have left the military high command heavily dependent on direct oversight from the commission Xi chairs, with no verified reports of coordinated challenges or execution attempts in credible coverage. Recent emphasis on internal security measures, including warnings from the Ministry of State Security about AI-enabled disinformation risks to party rule, further underscores Beijing’s focus on preempting instability rather than confronting active plots. Trader consensus at 94.7% for no coup attempt before 2027 aligns with this pattern of tightened control and absence of public fractures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
5% chance
$156,779 Vol.
$156,779 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
5% chance
$156,779 Vol.
$156,779 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority through repeated purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission vice chairmen and other top commanders through mid-2026, has removed potential institutional centers of resistance and installed loyalists in key posts. These actions, officially tied to corruption and discipline violations, have left the military high command heavily dependent on direct oversight from the commission Xi chairs, with no verified reports of coordinated challenges or execution attempts in credible coverage. Recent emphasis on internal security measures, including warnings from the Ministry of State Security about AI-enabled disinformation risks to party rule, further underscores Beijing’s focus on preempting instability rather than confronting active plots. Trader consensus at 94.7% for no coup attempt before 2027 aligns with this pattern of tightened control and absence of public fractures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$156,779Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority through repeated purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission vice chairmen and other top commanders through mid-2026, has removed potential institutional centers of resistance and installed loyalists in key posts. These actions, officially tied to corruption and discipline violations, have left the military high command heavily dependent on direct oversight from the commission Xi chairs, with no verified reports of coordinated challenges or execution attempts in credible coverage. Recent emphasis on internal security measures, including warnings from the Ministry of State Security about AI-enabled disinformation risks to party rule, further underscores Beijing’s focus on preempting instability rather than confronting active plots. Trader consensus at 94.7% for no coup attempt before 2027 aligns with this pattern of tightened control and absence of public fractures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$156,779Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority through repeated purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission vice chairmen and other top commanders through mid-2026, has removed potential institutional centers of resistance and installed loyalists in key posts. These actions, officially tied to corruption and discipline violations, have left the military high command heavily dependent on direct oversight from the commission Xi chairs, with no verified reports of coordinated challenges or execution attempts in credible coverage. Recent emphasis on internal security measures, including warnings from the Ministry of State Security about AI-enabled disinformation risks to party rule, further underscores Beijing’s focus on preempting instability rather than confronting active plots. Trader consensus at 94.7% for no coup attempt before 2027 aligns with this pattern of tightened control and absence of public fractures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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