Recent national polls place President Trump’s approval rating between 33% and 40%, with major aggregators showing averages near 35–39% and net ratings around -17 to -20 as of early September 2026. Tight clustering across the 37–39 ranges reflects persistent polling variance by methodology, sample type, and timing rather than rapid shifts in underlying sentiment. Economic dissatisfaction, particularly over tariffs, trade policy, and cost-of-living pressures, continues to weigh on overall numbers while Republican support holds steady above 70%. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past week to push the figure decisively higher or lower. Fresh jobs data, inflation releases, or administration announcements on trade before September 18 could produce measurable movement and separate the leading bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour38,0–38,4 31%
37,5–37,9 30%
38,5–38,9 27%
<37,0 26%
<37,0
26%
37,0–37,4
25%
37,5–37,9
30%
38,0–38,4
31%
38,5–38,9
27%
39,0+
26%
38,0–38,4 31%
37,5–37,9 30%
38,5–38,9 27%
<37,0 26%
<37,0
26%
37,0–37,4
25%
37,5–37,9
30%
38,0–38,4
31%
38,5–38,9
27%
39,0+
26%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls place President Trump’s approval rating between 33% and 40%, with major aggregators showing averages near 35–39% and net ratings around -17 to -20 as of early September 2026. Tight clustering across the 37–39 ranges reflects persistent polling variance by methodology, sample type, and timing rather than rapid shifts in underlying sentiment. Economic dissatisfaction, particularly over tariffs, trade policy, and cost-of-living pressures, continues to weigh on overall numbers while Republican support holds steady above 70%. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past week to push the figure decisively higher or lower. Fresh jobs data, inflation releases, or administration announcements on trade before September 18 could produce measurable movement and separate the leading bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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