Persistent deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations and repeated rejections of direct leader-level talks drive the 92% market consensus against any Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027. Recent US envoy shuttle diplomacy in September 2026 produced discussions on trilateral formats but yielded no commitments to a bilateral summit, as Putin has conditioned any encounter on prior agreement on core issues including territorial control while Zelenskyy has proposed neutral venues that Moscow has not endorsed. Ongoing military operations and wide gaps on security guarantees reinforce trader assessments of low near-term prospects. Shifts could still occur through accelerated US-mediated progress, battlefield developments prompting urgency, or unforeseen diplomatic openings within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUS envoys meet Putin and Zelenskyy separately, push for trilateral talks
No meeting before 2027 rises to 92%2%
US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner held talks with Putin in Moscow and Zelenskyy in Kyiv, aiming to advance peace negotiations. Despite positive engagement, no direct meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy was announced, reinforcing market expectations of no meeting before 2027.
Zelenskyy sees no fast end to war after talks with US envoys; territorial issues remain
No meeting before 2027 rises to 93%1%
After talks with US envoys, Zelenskyy indicated that territorial disputes and peace negotiations remain unresolved and should be settled at the leader level. The ongoing conflict and diplomatic stalemate reinforced market expectations that no meeting would occur before 2027.


















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